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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks30%9692
1Heat70%103101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
39.8
38.6
20
63%
11
1
2
1
0
3
4
7
4-4
100%
8-14
7-13
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.5
39.2
35.3
11
47%
3
3
2
2
0
5
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.0
37.3
36.1
22
54%
3
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
4-5
80%
3-13
7-15
23%
47%
4-5
80%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.7
26.9
18.8
12
55%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
4-11
36%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.8
23.1
28.4
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
31.0
24.9
11
54%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.8
18.6
28.9
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
16.1
13.4
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.5
2.7
3.3
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
2.7
0.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
2.7
0.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.7
9.8
0
0-1
44%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
8.8
0
1-3
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
40.4
36.7
27
71%
7
6
2
2
0
3
1
6
6-7
86%
9-14
8-14
64%
55%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
34.4
32.1
26
83%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
3-6
50%
10-12
7-13
83%
51%
1-1
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
32.4
32.1
14
51%
10
2
1
1
0
2
0
10
2-6
33%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
23.9
20.3
4
52%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
13.9
6.0
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
26.6
23.5
3
18%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-3
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
23.1
21.2
10
125%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
18.9
22.1
9
90%
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
3-5
60%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
18.1
12.1
2
100%
0
0
2
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
8.3
20.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-3
33%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
2.1
0
0-1
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.