Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 10, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 41% | 99 | 74 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Mavericks | 64% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Heat | 70% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Bobcats | 32% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 39% | 94 | 97 |
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Sunday, December 9, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Knicks | 66% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 23% | 95 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | 32% | 95 | 97 |
 | 12 | Nets | 68% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | 75% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 49% | 99 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 110 |
Saturday, December 8, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 116 |
| 13 | Rockets | 60% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 21% | 95 | 99 |
| 4 | Clippers | 79% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 100 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 77% | 105 | 132 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 33% | 91 | 79 |
 | 11 | Celtics | 67% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 14% | 92 | 90 | |
| 3 | Heat | 86% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 54% | 99 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Knicks | 54% | 96 | 85 |
 | 8 | Bulls | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 33% | 93 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 30% | 98 | 99 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 105 | 80 |
Friday, December 7, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 37% | 98 | 99 |
| 15 | Jazz | 63% | 103 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 51% | 95 | 94 |
| 21 | 76ers | 49% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 45% | 94 | 92 |
| 13 | Pacers | 55% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 37% | 98 | 109 |
| 12 | Nets | 63% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 23% | 90 | 95 |
| 9 | Hawks | 77% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 62% | 97 | 108 |
| 25 | Pistons | 38% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 67% | 98 | 96 |
| 26 | Hornets | 33% | 92 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 30% | 95 | 93 |
| 22 | Bucks | 70% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 31% | 100 | 92 |
| 5 | Spurs | 69% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 31% | 97 | 108 |
| 1 | Thunder | 69% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 51% | 99 | 82 |
| 27 | Kings | 49% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 95 | 73 |
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 73% | 103 | 91 |
Thursday, December 6, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 40% | 98 | 97 |
| 23 | Suns | 60% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Knicks | 37% | 99 | 112 |
| 3 | Heat | 63% | 103 | 92 |
Wednesday, December 5, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 35% | 97 | 81 |
| 14 | Jazz | 65% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 78% | 105 | 100 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 93 | 92 |
| 13 | Pacers | 63% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 37% | 94 | 94 |
| 15 | Celtics | 63% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 40% | 98 | 104 |
| 7 | Hawks | 60% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 49% | 101 | 104 |
| 24 | Pistons | 51% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 65% | 98 | 95 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 35% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 57% | 100 | 103 |
| 26 | Hornets | 43% | 98 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 23% | 94 | 99 |
| 5 | Spurs | 77% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 51% | 101 | 100 |
| 27 | Kings | 49% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 22% | 93 | 90 |
| 3 | Clippers | 78% | 103 | 112 |
Tuesday, December 4, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 34% | 88 | 80 |
| 7 | Bulls | 66% | 93 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 47% | 102 | 105 |
| 10 | Rockets | 53% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 24% | 93 | 98 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 76% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 56% | 99 | 117 |
| 12 | Nets | 44% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 81% | 103 | 101 |
| 28 | Wizards | 19% | 91 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 44% | 95 | 105 |
| 17 | 76ers | 56% | 97 | 88 |
Monday, December 3, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 41% | 99 | 79 |
| 24 | Pistons | 59% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 102 | 118 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 42% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 51% | 98 | 81 |
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 97 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 29% | 96 | 110 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 71% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 60% | 102 | 105 |
| 15 | Jazz | 40% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 28% | 97 | 102 |
| 16 | Warriors | 72% | 104 | 94 |
Sunday, December 2, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 19% | 92 | 113 |
| 7 | Lakers | 81% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 20% | 94 | 99 |
| 4 | Knicks | 80% | 105 | 106 |
Saturday, December 1, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 13% | 93 | 81 |
| 3 | Clippers | 87% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 22% | 93 | 89 |
| 1 | Heat | 78% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 100 | 118 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 53% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 30% | 90 | 88 |
| 10 | Bulls | 70% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 64% | 100 | 100 |
| 23 | Hornets | 36% | 95 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 31% | 98 | 116 |
| 9 | Rockets | 69% | 105 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 46% | 96 | 88 |
| 19 | Bucks | 54% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 36% | 96 | 95 |
| 5 | Spurs | 64% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 36% | 97 | 77 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 64% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 41% | 95 | 92 |
| 15 | Warriors | 59% | 98 | 103 |
Friday, November 30, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 26% | 94 | 94 |
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 40% | 98 | 97 |
| 22 | Raptors | 60% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 65% | 99 | 104 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 35% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 61% | 98 | 98 |
| 27 | Magic | 39% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 96 | 78 |
| 13 | Celtics | 64% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 16% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Knicks | 84% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 24% | 92 | 78 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 76% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 40% | 98 | 85 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 60% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 96 | 97 |
| 26 | Kings | 42% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 36% | 97 | 103 |
| 7 | Lakers | 64% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 22% | 92 | 113 |
| 11 | Hawks | 78% | 103 | 111 |
Thursday, November 29, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 54% | 102 | 105 |
| 18 | Warriors | 46% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 30% | 98 | 100 |
| 1 | Heat | 70% | 104 | 105 |
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 20% | 92 | 82 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 80% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 98 | 82 |
| 28 | Wizards | 47% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 103 | 110 |
| 26 | Magic | 29% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 41% | 95 | 95 |
| 12 | Celtics | 59% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 15% | 91 | 91 |
| 7 | Hawks | 85% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 42% | 100 | 77 |
| 25 | Pistons | 58% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 24% | 91 | 78 |
| 10 | Bulls | 76% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Knicks | 59% | 101 | 102 |
| 15 | Bucks | 41% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 52% | 99 | 96 |
| 22 | Hornets | 48% | 98 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 29% | 95 | 98 |
| 5 | Thunder | 71% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 23% | 95 | 95 |
| 4 | Clippers | 77% | 105 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 27, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 37% | 93 | 98 |
| 18 | 76ers | 63% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 31% | 92 | 79 |
| 7 | Lakers | 69% | 99 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 56% | 101 | 97 |
| 27 | Kings | 44% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 34% | 98 | 101 |
| 11 | Rockets | 66% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 52% | 102 | 91 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 48% | 101 | 78 |