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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Raptors41%9974
26Trail Blazers59%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
42.9
37.4
20
54%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
7-14
6-14
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
37.7
19.3
9
30%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
1-7
14%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
34.2
19.6
8
67%
10
2
0
0
3
3
3
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
17.2
30.5
1
9%
7
2
3
1
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
7.6
31.9
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
5-10
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
31.5
19.0
12
76%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
24.5
16.3
14
67%
9
2
1
0
1
1
4
5
8-8
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
53%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
13.4
20.2
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
12.1
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-4
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
10.3
23.8
4
33%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
8.6
2.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
17.2
0
2-4
47%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
41.5
5.5
10
40%
7
5
1
0
0
0
0
7
0-1
0%
5-7
0-1
71%
45%
0-5
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
38.6
34.3
30
67%
12
0
2
1
2
1
4
8
8-8
100%
11-19
8-15
58%
52%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
35.5
37.2
9
28%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
0-5
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
25.6
5.9
4
17%
5
2
2
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-9
0-1
22%
50%
0-3
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
23.2
25.6
16
96%
11
0
1
1
0
1
3
8
2-3
67%
7-7
4-8
100%
52%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
21.4
10.6
11
49%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
21.1
18.5
4
22%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
11.6
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
11.2
14.6
6
77%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
10.3
5.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
32.3
1
3-6
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
10.3
1
1-2
42%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
10.1
0
1-3
49%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.