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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings36%9796
18Mavericks64%102119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
34.8
31.7
25
64%
6
1
1
1
0
4
5
1
5-6
83%
10-16
7-16
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
30.9
20.2
25
78%
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
7-12
58%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
30.1
31.7
5
63%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
30.1
28.8
11
56%
12
2
0
1
1
2
2
10
1-4
25%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
28.3
25.8
9
51%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
19.3
21.1
10
73%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
15.9
17.4
4
22%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
13.6
15.5
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
12.0
7.0
2
18%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
11.7
13.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
7.7
11.1
3
44%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
5.9
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
13.3
1
2-5
47%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
29.4
16.2
11
58%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
5-8
63%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
28.4
37.2
19
85%
7
4
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-5
80%
3-5
5-10
60%
46%
3-4
75%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
24.4
20.9
8
44%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-6
44%
60%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.3
22.7
24.7
11
71%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
21.5
20.7
18
69%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
9-13
4-9
69%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
29.7
26.8
15
83%
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-7
3-7
86%
49%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
23.1
16.7
11
61%
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
21.6
19.4
8
47%
5
1
1
1
3
0
1
4
0-1
0%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
20.5
22.6
7
35%
5
4
2
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
9.8
6.6
5
56%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
4.9
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
3.8
0.6
6
77%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.