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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs56%105134
12Rockets44%103126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
42.9
19.4
14
50%
6
5
2
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
2-7
29%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
42.7
27.7
27
61%
12
12
0
1
0
3
0
12
8-9
89%
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
1-3
33%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
35.0
24.8
29
81%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
7-10
70%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
32.0
24.6
10
40%
13
3
0
1
3
1
2
11
8-8
100%
1-9
6-11
11%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
18.7
12.4
9
70%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
36.5
21.0
22
75%
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
24.1
20.7
8
58%
2
3
0
1
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
54%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
18.1
19.2
10
83%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
59%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
9.8
20.2
5
83%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
2.8
17.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
1.9
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
0.5
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
10.4
0
1-2
45%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
42.0
22.9
38
72%
3
7
2
1
2
2
1
2
12-12
100%
7-16
2-5
44%
45%
4-5
80%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
41.1
33.9
20
50%
7
4
1
1
0
2
2
5
2-5
40%
3-10
4-7
30%
50%
4-8
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
38.4
25.3
5
20%
4
5
3
1
1
3
0
4
0-1
0%
1-7
1-3
14%
43%
1-5
20%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
35.1
23.1
21
61%
10
2
1
1
2
2
4
6
11-14
79%
5-11
3-6
45%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
21.2
29.8
8
40%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
40.9
25.9
17
77%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
5-7
71%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
24.6
10.9
13
84%
6
0
3
0
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
16.1
10.2
4
33%
6
0
0
0
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
3.8
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
1.8
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
38.5
2
5-10
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
3.9
0
1-1
46%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.