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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks62%9980
2576ers38%9599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
36.3
35.1
7
30%
8
3
0
1
3
2
2
6
3-4
75%
2-10
6-12
20%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.0
27.5
36.3
17
52%
6
3
1
1
0
4
2
4
0-1
0%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
21.8
27.8
11
58%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-6
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.5
21.8
30.6
5
63%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
49%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.7
16.5
18.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
28.2
16.2
9
60%
8
2
2
0
0
4
4
4
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
28.2
28.9
13
49%
1
4
2
1
0
4
1
0
3-3
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
2-7
29%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
19.2
11.5
3
75%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
17.6
11.7
4
33%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
6.7
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.4
6.7
2.3
3
31%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
4.8
5.2
8
133%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
4.8
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
41.4
32.4
21
62%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
9-15
5-11
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
40.0
34.4
18
56%
11
4
5
1
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
9-16
6-12
56%
52%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
36.3
13.0
11
42%
4
7
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
35.7
16.1
6
43%
7
3
1
0
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
32.9
28.3
17
66%
8
7
2
1
1
0
0
8
0-2
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
20.2
24.6
12
57%
8
2
0
0
2
1
3
5
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
19.8
28.8
7
52%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
9.6
29.6
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
4.2
6.8
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.8
12.1
0
1-2
51%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
11.9
0
1-3
40%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
2.5
0
0-0
39%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.