Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 21, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Magic | 47% | 96 | 90 |
 | 23 | Raptors | 53% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bucks | 37% | 93 | 99 |
 | 13 | Celtics | 63% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bulls | 34% | 93 | 110 |
 | 4 | Knicks | 66% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | 62% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 20% | 89 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 16% | 92 | 94 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 21% | 99 | 100 |
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Thursday, December 20, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 53% | 101 | 93 |
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 47% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Heat | 65% | 101 | 110 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 35% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 19, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 48% | 97 | 91 |
| 23 | Raptors | 52% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Nets | 28% | 95 | 86 |
| 5 | Knicks | 72% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 29% | 90 | 83 |
| 22 | Magic | 71% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Pacers | 61% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 26% | 94 | 91 |
| 15 | Celtics | 74% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 59% | 100 | 100 |
| 9 | Hawks | 41% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 24% | 96 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 96 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 22% | 89 | 80 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 78% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 102 | 127 |
| 27 | Kings | 44% | 100 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 14% | 90 | 77 | |
| 3 | Clippers | 86% | 105 | 93 |
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 67% | 97 | 100 |
| 29 | Wizards | 33% | 91 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 41% | 98 | 113 |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 59% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 39% | 97 | 92 |
| 12 | Nets | 61% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 28% | 95 | 92 |
| 3 | Heat | 72% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 44% | 92 | 89 |
| 10 | Bulls | 56% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 53% | 93 | 93 |
| 20 | Bucks | 47% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 39% | 95 | 100 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 61% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 44% | 101 | 106 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 56% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 15% | 95 | 100 |
 | 7 | Lakers | 85% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 30% | 97 | 96 | |
| 16 | Warriors | 70% | 104 | 103 |
Monday, December 17, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 57% | 97 | 93 |
| 22 | Magic | 43% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 23% | 98 | 109 |
| 2 | Knicks | 77% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 69% | 102 | 88 |
| 23 | Pistons | 31% | 95 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 35% | 89 | 71 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 65% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 40% | 99 | 93 |
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 30% | 97 | 90 |
| 18 | Suns | 70% | 104 | 101 |
Sunday, December 16, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 61% | 103 | 96 |
| 28 | Raptors | 39% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 59% | 100 | 111 |
| 21 | 76ers | 41% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 103 | 122 |
| 27 | Kings | 36% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 42% | 96 | 94 | |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 99 | 95 |
Saturday, December 15, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 55% | 98 | 107 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 45% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 28% | 96 | 115 |
| 7 | Hawks | 72% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 11% | 92 | 102 |
| 1 | Knicks | 89% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 13% | 90 | 72 |
| 4 | Heat | 87% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 54% | 94 | 88 |
| 23 | Pistons | 46% | 93 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 35% | 93 | 82 |
| 11 | Bulls | 65% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 31% | 95 | 106 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 69% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 65% | 100 | 111 |
| 18 | Bucks | 35% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 23% | 94 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 53% | 97 | 99 |
| 16 | Jazz | 47% | 96 | 86 |
Friday, December 14, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 60% | 100 | 74 |
| 29 | Raptors | 40% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 60% | 100 | 102 |
| 27 | Wizards | 40% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 37% | 89 | 85 |
| 16 | Pacers | 63% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 30% | 96 | 105 |
| 12 | Nets | 70% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 57% | 101 | 90 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 43% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 54% | 100 | 85 |
| 24 | Magic | 46% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 58% | 98 | 113 |
| 25 | Hornets | 42% | 95 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 48% | 99 | 89 |
| 13 | Rockets | 52% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 15% | 92 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 53% | 102 | 84 |
| 21 | Suns | 47% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 49% | 97 | 94 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 51% | 98 | 99 |
Thursday, December 13, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 16% | 92 | 90 |
| 7 | Hawks | 84% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 31% | 99 | 107 |
| 3 | Knicks | 69% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 104 | 90 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 96 | 98 |
Wednesday, December 12, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 53% | 99 | 94 |
| 21 | Raptors | 47% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 62% | 99 | 86 |
| 23 | Magic | 38% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 23% | 90 | 81 |
| 13 | Pacers | 77% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 52% | 94 | 96 |
| 20 | 76ers | 48% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 76% | 104 | 100 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 24% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 27% | 98 | 97 |
| 4 | Heat | 73% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 36% | 94 | 115 |
| 11 | Celtics | 64% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 36% | 97 | 85 |
| 18 | Bucks | 64% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 25% | 95 | 93 |
| 15 | Rockets | 75% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 13% | 89 | 88 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 42% | 98 | 105 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 58% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 68% | 100 | 80 |
| 24 | Suns | 32% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 60% | 104 | 96 |
| 14 | Jazz | 40% | 101 | 99 |
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 58% | 100 | 100 |
| 15 | Nets | 42% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 70% | 105 | 94 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 62% | 103 | 101 |
| 21 | Pistons | 38% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 42% | 94 | 77 |
| 26 | Hornets | 58% | 97 | 70 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 49% | 96 | 94 |
| 8 | Bulls | 51% | 97 | 89 |
Monday, December 10, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 39% | 95 | 97 |
| 20 | 76ers | 61% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 68% | 105 | 104 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 32% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 30% | 96 | 92 |
| 1 | Heat | 70% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 105 | 134 |
| 12 | Rockets | 44% | 103 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 36% | 97 | 96 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 64% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 41% | 99 | 74 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 102 | 92 |
Sunday, December 9, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 23% | 96 | 83 |
| 4 | Clippers | 77% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 32% | 95 | 97 |
| 12 | Nets | 68% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 26% | 90 | 93 |
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 34% | 97 | 106 |
| 3 | Knicks | 66% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 49% | 99 | 98 |
| 22 | Suns | 51% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 32% | 98 | 117 |
| 7 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 110 |
Saturday, December 8, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 21% | 95 | 99 |
| 4 | Clippers | 79% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 100 | 101 |
| 28 | Wizards | 44% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 77% | 105 | 132 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 34% | 91 | 79 |
| 11 | Celtics | 66% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 14% | 92 | 90 | |
| 3 | Heat | 86% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 53% | 99 | 104 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 47% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Knicks | 54% | 97 | 85 |
| 8 | Bulls | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 33% | 93 | 93 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 67% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 116 |
| 13 | Rockets | 60% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 30% | 98 | 99 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 105 | 80 |