Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Bucks	37%	93	99	94.3	105	92.9
	13	Celtics	63%	97	94	89.5	105	97.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	48.0	12	46%	11	8	2	0	7	1	4	7	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	41.1	27	52%	7	5	0	0	4	1	1	6	9-11	82%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	40.0	20	50%	6	2	0	0	5	2	5	1	4-10	40%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	39.2	17	77%	20	3	2	2	1	4	2	18	1-3	33%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	19.2	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%

Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	26.4	3	38%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	26.4	8	50%	5	2	1	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	18.4	9	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 21	6.3	3	38%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih #19 · G · 6'3" 205 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tobias Harris #15 · F · 6'8" 226 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	99	48%	57	22	8	3	21	0	15	42	22-36	61%	31-67	46%	5-16	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	48.0	12	46%	11	8	2	0	7	1	4	7	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	41.1	27	52%	7	5	0	0	4	1	1	6	9-11	82%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	40.0	20	50%	6	2	0	0	5	2	5	1	4-10	40%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	39.2	17	77%	20	3	2	2	1	4	2	18	1-3	33%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	19.2	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%

Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	26.4	3	38%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	26.4	8	50%	5	2	1	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	18.4	9	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 21	6.3	3	38%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih #19 · G · 6'3" 205 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tobias Harris #15 · F · 6'8" 226 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	99	48%	57	22	8	3	21	0	15	42	22-36	61%	31-67	46%	5-16	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 27	45.3	6	38%	5	11	4	1	2	0	2	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 35	42.7	35	70%	12	5	3	0	6	4	2	10	6-8	75%	10-16	63%	3-7	43%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 37	37.8	12	27%	7	1	2	0	2	0	3	4	0-0	-	6-21	29%	0-1	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 35	31.9	4	13%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	0-6	0%	1-9	11%
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 34	15.1	2	50%	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	2	2-3	67%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 26	28.3	14	58%	3	2	4	2	1	3	1	2	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 27	27.0	11	61%	2	0	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Brandon Bass F · 6'8" 250 · 28	22.6	6	43%	6	1	1	1	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21	14.3	4	100%	7	2	0	0	1	6	2	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Chris Wilcox F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30	\| DND - Right Thumb Injury
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 30	\| NWT -
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kris Joseph F · 6'7" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Fab Melo #13 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	94	44%	44	23	16	5	14	0	12	32	17-20	85%	31-70	44%	5-24	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.95 47.6%

BOS

0.89 44.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

20

32

63%

BOS

19

29

66%

Midrange

MIL

11

35

31%

BOS

12

41

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

5

7.5

16

31%

47%

BOS

5

7.5

24

21%

31%

Free Throws

MIL

22

36

61%

BOS

17

20

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ellis	27	52%	13.5 / 26
L. Mbah a Moute	20	50%	10.0 / 20
L. Sanders	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Jennings	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Dunleavy	9	50%	4.5 / 9
E. Ilyasova	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Udoh	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Lamb	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Daniels	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pierce	35	70%	17.5 / 25
J. Green	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Garnett	12	27%	6.0 / 22
C. Lee	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Rondo	6	38%	3.0 / 8
B. Bass	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Terry	4	13%	2.0 / 15
J. Sullinger	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Collins	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 25 102.8	MIL 94.3 +4.8 BOS 89.5
Pace	3 94.8 15 92.1	MIL 92.9 BOS 97.4 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 25 15.1	MIL 15.5 BOS 14.8 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 12 50.3%	MIL 46.4% +5.4% BOS 41.0%
TO %	5 14.3% 11 14.8%	MIL 18.9% BOS 12.7% −6.2%
ORB %	11 28.0% 30 20.2%	MIL 31.9% +9.7% BOS 22.2%
FTrt	27 23.6 16 26.3	MIL 43.4 +22.1 BOS 21.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 6 61.4%	MIL 61.1% BOS 63.9% +2.8%
STL %	11 8.8% 9 8.8%	MIL 7.6% BOS 15.2% +7.6%
BLK %	4 10.1% 22 7.3%	MIL 4.3% BOS 7.5% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 12 52.6%	MIL 47.6% +3.3% BOS 44.3%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 16 57.1%	MIL 62.5% BOS 65.5% +3.0%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 1 43.3%	MIL 31.4% +2.1% BOS 29.3%
3P %	14 36.0% 15 35.8%	MIL 31.3% +10.5% BOS 20.8%
FT %	22 73.6% 6 77.7%	MIL 61.1% BOS 85.0% +23.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 22 34.6%	MIL 38.6% +7.7% BOS 30.9%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 23 43.9%	MIL 42.2% −1.4% BOS 43.6%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 24 21.5%	MIL 19.3% BOS 25.5% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Game Totals	MIL	BOS
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	27.1	25.9
Points	99	94
Rebounds	57	44
Assists	22	23
Steals	8	16
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	36-83	36-94
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	19-29
Midrange FG	11-35	12-41
2-Point FG	31-67	31-70
3-Point FG	5-16	5-24
Free Throws	22-36	17-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg