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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks37%9399
13Celtics63%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
48.0
39.3
12
47%
11
8
2
2
0
7
4
7
2-4
50%
2-6
5-12
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
41.1
34.9
27
52%
7
5
0
1
0
4
1
6
9-11
82%
9-20
6-13
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
40.0
26.7
20
52%
6
2
0
1
0
5
5
1
4-10
40%
8-15
3-6
53%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
39.2
23.4
17
75%
20
3
2
1
2
1
2
18
1-3
33%
8-10
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
19.2
24.2
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
26.4
16.6
3
39%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
26.4
20.1
8
51%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
18.4
19.7
9
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
6.3
15.9
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
9.4
0
2-4
44%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
5.1
0
1-1
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
4.3
0
1-2
47%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
2.7
0
0-0
52%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
45.3
35.3
6
38%
5
11
4
2
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
42.7
32.3
35
66%
12
5
3
1
0
6
2
10
6-8
75%
10-16
4-9
63%
48%
3-7
43%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
37.8
28.1
12
27%
7
1
2
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
6-21
6-11
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
31.9
29.9
4
13%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
49%
1-9
11%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
15.1
13.2
2
76%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
28.3
19.7
14
60%
3
2
4
1
2
1
1
2
6-6
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
27.0
22.2
11
61%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
22.6
24.9
6
44%
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
14.3
14.2
4
100%
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
9.1
0
1-2
58%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
6.7
0
1-2
47%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.