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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers66%9899
28Cavaliers34%9289
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
37
33
13
8
6
2
1
0
1
1
7
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
35
36
10
5
3
5
2
1
5
1
4
2-3
67%
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
34
30
13
10
2
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-5
20%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
32
22
16
2
7
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
7-7
2-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
24
27
18
6
0
0
1
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
23
16
10
3
3
0
0
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
16
22
14
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
13
16
2
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
13
16
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
11
9
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
7
0
0-1
43%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
35
35
17
1
5
1
1
0
6
0
1
7-7
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
35
25
12
7
1
0
1
2
3
1
6
2-2
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.8
34
30
12
13
0
0
1
2
3
4
9
2-5
40%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
32
35
11
0
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
31
31
11
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-9
4-9
44%
41%
0-3
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.8
29
15
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
37%
2-4
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
18
6
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
15
25
10
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-1
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
44%
2-4
50%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
9
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.8
1
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
8
0
0-1
40%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.6
3
0
0-1
47%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.