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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats18%9191
13Bulls82%10381
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
35.5
29.8
16
61%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-5
60%
5-8
4-10
63%
44%
1-3
33%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
34.8
36.0
18
58%
8
6
4
1
2
3
0
8
5-6
83%
5-10
5-11
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
28.6
25.5
8
33%
6
1
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-5
40%
3-10
3-8
30%
44%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
24.8
17.2
5
83%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.3
24.4
27.3
5
33%
11
0
1
0
0
2
3
8
3-8
38%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
25.3
27.6
15
70%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
23.6
14.7
15
58%
3
3
2
0
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
7-12
2-4
58%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
23.1
4.2
9
59%
10
0
0
0
3
2
4
6
3-6
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
19.9
15.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
23.5
1
3-7
47%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.9
5.0
0
0-1
40%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
38.1
36.6
20
48%
12
4
3
1
1
2
4
8
2-4
50%
9-18
6-12
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
35.4
26.7
19
44%
14
3
1
1
0
0
3
11
5-8
63%
7-18
6-11
39%
53%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
30.3
35.5
2
50%
4
2
3
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
29.0
17.6
5
23%
3
7
3
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
50%
1-4
25%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
18.0
12.7
11
50%
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
26.1
32.4
8
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
2-7
29%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
21.4
16.7
8
37%
9
0
0
0
1
0
6
3
2-4
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
19.0
5.3
4
29%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
13.8
16.2
2
35%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
8.9
8.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
29.5
1
2-4
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.