Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 31, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | 49% | 89 | 83 | |
12 | Pacers | 51% | 90 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 18% | 91 | 91 | |
13 | Bulls | 82% | 103 | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Heat | 70% | 101 | 112 | |
27 | Magic | 30% | 94 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 43% | 100 | 104 | |
9 | Rockets | 57% | 102 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Suns | 20% | 94 | 96 | |
3 | Thunder | 80% | 105 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nets | 22% | 94 | 73 | |
1 | Spurs | 78% | 104 | 104 |
Sunday, December 30, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 51% | 97 | 94 | |
25 | Pistons | 49% | 96 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 70% | 104 | 111 | |
20 | Mavericks | 30% | 97 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Celtics | 49% | 98 | 96 | |
27 | Kings | 51% | 99 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Jazz | 21% | 93 | 96 | |
2 | Clippers | 79% | 104 | 107 |
Saturday, December 29, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 61% | 101 | 98 | |
30 | Bobcats | 39% | 98 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 41% | 91 | 100 | |
10 | Hawks | 59% | 94 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Raptors | 41% | 95 | 123 | |
21 | Magic | 59% | 98 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 93 | 100 | |
17 | Nets | 76% | 102 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 22% | 87 | 77 | |
13 | Bulls | 78% | 98 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 40% | 96 | 72 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 60% | 99 | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Thunder | 57% | 104 | 124 | |
7 | Rockets | 43% | 101 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Suns | 26% | 96 | 107 | |
11 | Timberwolves | 74% | 105 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Heat | 58% | 101 | 85 | |
16 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | 76ers | 48% | 96 | 85 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 97 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Celtics | 45% | 97 | 83 | |
14 | Warriors | 55% | 99 | 101 |
Friday, December 28, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Magic | 56% | 95 | 97 | |
28 | Wizards | 44% | 93 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Suns | 30% | 90 | 91 | |
12 | Pacers | 70% | 97 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 22% | 94 | 81 | |
17 | Nets | 78% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Heat | 73% | 101 | 99 | |
26 | Pistons | 27% | 93 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 70% | 101 | 102 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 94 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | 46% | 97 | 104 | |
24 | Hornets | 54% | 98 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 61% | 103 | 106 | |
18 | Mavericks | 39% | 100 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 30% | 99 | 116 | |
2 | Spurs | 70% | 106 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 61% | 99 | 116 | |
19 | Jazz | 39% | 95 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 71% | 104 | 105 | |
27 | Kings | 29% | 97 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 97 | 87 | |
5 | Lakers | 80% | 108 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | 76ers | 36% | 97 | 89 | |
14 | Warriors | 64% | 102 | 96 |
Thursday, December 27, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Mavericks | 19% | 94 | 105 | |
1 | Thunder | 81% | 106 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 28% | 91 | 77 | |
4 | Clippers | 72% | 98 | 106 |
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 43% | 95 | 87 | |
28 | Wizards | 57% | 97 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Heat | 78% | 105 | 105 | |
30 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 37% | 93 | 97 | |
21 | Magic | 63% | 97 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 29% | 92 | 119 | |
10 | Hawks | 71% | 100 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nets | 39% | 93 | 93 | |
18 | Bucks | 61% | 96 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | 76ers | 29% | 90 | 99 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 71% | 97 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 41% | 101 | 87 | |
12 | Timberwolves | 59% | 104 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Raptors | 18% | 94 | 80 | |
3 | Spurs | 82% | 107 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Lakers | 48% | 103 | 114 | |
9 | Nuggets | 52% | 104 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Warriors | 47% | 102 | 94 | |
16 | Jazz | 53% | 103 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Knicks | 60% | 103 | 99 | |
20 | Suns | 40% | 100 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Kings | 40% | 98 | 91 | |
24 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 102 | 109 |
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 44% | 94 | 93 | |
15 | Nets | 56% | 96 | 76 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Knicks | 45% | 103 | 94 | |
6 | Lakers | 55% | 105 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 43% | 97 | 97 | |
4 | Heat | 57% | 100 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 43% | 97 | 120 | |
10 | Bulls | 57% | 99 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Nuggets | 31% | 95 | 100 | |
3 | Clippers | 69% | 102 | 112 |
Sunday, December 23, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | 76ers | 34% | 94 | 92 | |
15 | Nets | 66% | 99 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 33% | 99 | 91 | |
5 | Knicks | 67% | 104 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Jazz | 43% | 96 | 97 | |
22 | Magic | 57% | 98 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Mavericks | 23% | 96 | 91 | |
1 | Spurs | 77% | 106 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Clippers | 67% | 102 | 103 | |
18 | Suns | 33% | 96 | 77 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 100 | 96 | |
27 | Kings | 53% | 101 | 108 |
Saturday, December 22, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 55% | 95 | 96 | |
29 | Wizards | 45% | 93 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Bulls | 46% | 93 | 75 | |
14 | Hawks | 54% | 94 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Jazz | 28% | 95 | 89 | |
5 | Heat | 72% | 103 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 61% | 94 | 81 | |
26 | Hornets | 39% | 90 | 75 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Grizzlies | 44% | 96 | 96 | |
9 | Rockets | 56% | 98 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 27% | 94 | 94 | |
18 | Bucks | 73% | 102 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 13% | 95 | 88 | |
8 | Nuggets | 87% | 110 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Suns | 47% | 100 | 93 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 101 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 54% | 105 | 118 | |
15 | Warriors | 46% | 104 | 115 |
Friday, December 21, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Magic | 47% | 96 | 90 | |
23 | Raptors | 53% | 97 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 62% | 99 | 80 | |
25 | 76ers | 38% | 95 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | 37% | 93 | 99 | |
13 | Celtics | 63% | 97 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bulls | 34% | 93 | 110 | |
4 | Knicks | 66% | 99 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 38% | 93 | 68 | |
24 | Pistons | 62% | 97 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 66% | 98 | 99 | |
28 | Cavaliers | 34% | 92 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Mavericks | 20% | 89 | 82 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 80% | 100 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 16% | 92 | 94 | |
1 | Spurs | 84% | 106 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Kings | 17% | 93 | 85 | |
3 | Clippers | 83% | 106 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 21% | 99 | 100 | |
14 | Warriors | 79% | 110 | 115 |
Thursday, December 20, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 53% | 101 | 93 | |
12 | Timberwolves | 47% | 100 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Heat | 65% | 101 | 110 | |
20 | Mavericks | 35% | 96 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 61% | 102 | 93 | |
21 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 99 | 101 |
Wednesday, December 19, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 48% | 97 | 91 | |
23 | Raptors | 52% | 98 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Nets | 28% | 95 | 86 | |
5 | Knicks | 72% | 103 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 29% | 90 | 83 | |
22 | Magic | 71% | 98 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Jazz | 39% | 92 | 84 | |
14 | Pacers | 61% | 96 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 26% | 94 | 91 | |
15 | Celtics | 74% | 102 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 59% | 100 | 100 | |
9 | Hawks | 41% | 96 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | 76ers | 24% | 96 | 103 | |
10 | Rockets | 76% | 105 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 22% | 96 | 104 | |
18 | Suns | 78% | 106 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bucks | 22% | 89 | 80 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 78% | 99 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Warriors | 56% | 102 | 127 | |
27 | Kings | 44% | 100 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 14% | 90 | 77 | |
3 | Clippers | 86% | 105 | 93 |
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Hawks | 67% | 97 | 100 | |
29 | Wizards | 33% | 91 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Raptors | 41% | 98 | 113 | |
23 | Cavaliers | 59% | 101 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Jazz | 39% | 97 | 92 | |
12 | Nets | 61% | 101 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | 28% | 95 | 92 | |
3 | Heat | 72% | 103 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Celtics | 44% | 92 | 89 | |
10 | Bulls | 56% | 94 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 53% | 93 | 93 | |
20 | Bucks | 47% | 92 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | 76ers | 39% | 95 | 100 | |
19 | Mavericks | 61% | 98 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Spurs | 44% | 101 | 106 | |
8 | Nuggets | 56% | 103 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Bobcats | 15% | 95 | 100 | |
7 | Lakers | 85% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 30% | 97 | 96 | |
16 | Warriors | 70% | 104 | 103 |