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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks43%100104
9Rockets57%102123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
33.8
34.6
10
29%
2
9
1
2
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-12
5-10
17%
49%
2-5
40%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
32.3
36.0
21
66%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
45%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
30.8
35.1
18
56%
13
4
1
1
0
1
1
12
0-0
-
9-16
6-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
25.9
30.3
3
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
23.2
22.4
17
58%
7
0
1
1
4
2
2
5
5-6
83%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
2-2
100%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.8
24.4
9.8
15
79%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
2-3
67%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.7
23.9
12.7
8
67%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
38%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
15.9
28.2
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
12.0
4.1
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.7
10.5
10.5
4
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
3.6
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.9
3.6
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
7.9
0
1-2
46%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
39.9
29.2
16
65%
4
8
4
2
2
4
0
4
3-3
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
1-3
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
34.2
34.4
28
62%
2
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
12-13
92%
5-11
5-11
45%
51%
2-6
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
31.9
25.5
11
63%
17
0
0
1
1
1
0
17
1-4
25%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
25.8
29.2
15
83%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
3-4
75%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
19.4
35.7
4
22%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
29.6
13.8
22
110%
4
8
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
6-8
75%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
19.7
26.8
10
56%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
19.1
9.6
8
80%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
14.7
13.9
6
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
2.2
3.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.6
2.2
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
1.2
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
8.7
0
0-1
40%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.