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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Suns20%9496
3Thunder80%105114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
41.0
36.1
7
44%
8
2
1
1
0
3
3
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
1-4
25%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
40.1
15.1
7
44%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
31.9
29.4
16
59%
3
8
0
1
1
5
0
3
4-6
67%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
30.2
32.2
24
63%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
10-16
6-13
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
30.1
29.1
12
51%
10
0
0
1
1
1
3
7
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
53%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.2
20.2
14.8
12
55%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-11
2-4
55%
46%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
17.4
32.9
0
0%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
16.1
22.8
9
113%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
41%
3-4
75%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.3
13.1
15.6
9
65%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
14.0
0
2-5
43%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
3.5
0
0-1
41%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
0.9
0
0-0
44%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
39.1
36.4
30
55%
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
8-8
100%
11-21
7-13
52%
55%
0-3
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
33.0
34.5
24
58%
7
9
1
2
0
1
3
4
9-11
82%
6-14
7-14
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
31.6
29.7
14
78%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
29.3
32.8
16
65%
7
1
0
1
2
0
0
7
3-3
100%
5-10
6-10
50%
57%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
28.4
21.6
4
50%
6
1
0
0
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
29.9
26.4
6
23%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
1-6
17%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
19.8
22.5
10
83%
9
2
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
5-6
3-4
83%
61%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
15.1
14.4
6
100%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
8.9
11.9
0
0%
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
1.7
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
1.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
1.7
3.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.