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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Heat70%101112
27Magic30%94110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
47.9
38.0
36
62%
8
11
1
2
0
3
1
7
15-16
94%
9-16
8-15
56%
56%
1-6
17%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
39.9
27.3
21
43%
6
3
2
1
1
3
2
4
3-10
30%
9-18
6-11
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
38.3
33.1
22
69%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
10-15
6-11
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
26.1
29.4
3
50%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
17.0
21.6
2
33%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
32.8
22.0
17
86%
1
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
26.0
26.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
17.5
12.4
3
38%
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
12.5
9.8
8
77%
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
4-5
80%
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
7.1
17.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
8.2
0
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
4.9
0
0-0
41%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
2.4
0
0-0
49%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
46.6
30.9
20
53%
29
2
3
1
2
0
11
18
2-4
50%
9-17
5-10
53%
49%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
46.2
36.5
28
61%
4
3
1
1
1
2
0
4
8-9
89%
7-13
5-10
54%
50%
2-6
33%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
23.6
9.8
6
44%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
17.2
13.7
10
48%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
14.3
16.3
2
25%
2
2
0
1
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
39.5
10.8
12
56%
6
3
0
0
0
0
2
4
6-6
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
38.7
20.7
9
41%
3
8
0
1
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
1-5
20%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
36.2
30.9
23
88%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
3-5
100%
47%
5-9
56%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
2.8
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
25.0
1
2-5
47%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
19.3
1
2-4
51%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
18.7
1
2-3
49%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
10.1
0
1-2
45%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.