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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings36%97105
18Raptors64%10296
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
35.0
29.5
20
59%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
6-10
2-5
60%
46%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
32.7
30.9
31
67%
20
4
2
1
0
4
6
14
9-12
75%
11-18
6-14
61%
45%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
30.9
25.0
11
71%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
29.9
31.8
14
64%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-11
5-10
64%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
22.7
24.7
3
21%
2
2
2
1
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-5
20%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
27.0
20.0
8
45%
3
0
1
1
2
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
23.3
7.5
5
58%
4
3
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-3
33%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
17.1
21.1
7
88%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
15.4
18.7
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
3.9
13.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
2.0
1.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
11.4
0
1-3
49%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
6.5
0
1-2
42%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
41.3
28.9
11
44%
13
2
1
1
3
2
5
8
3-6
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
56%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
33.0
34.2
14
45%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
8-10
80%
3-9
6-12
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
27.0
24.5
13
59%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
10.7
16.0
3
150%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
7.2
10.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
27.6
21.7
24
79%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
10-12
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
25.6
21.4
20
53%
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
41%
2-9
22%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
21.7
17.7
6
55%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
18.1
22.8
3
21%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
1-6
17%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
11.6
3.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
9.4
28.2
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
4-7
-
58%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
6.7
5.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.0
5.2
0
1-1
49%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.