Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Raptors | 64% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Nets | 62% | 96 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Bobcats | 47% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 27% | 92 | 96 |
 | 4 | Heat | 73% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Pistons | 42% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Celtics | 53% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 78% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, January 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 30% | 97 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Knicks | 52% | 101 | 100 |
Wednesday, January 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 58% | 95 | 96 |
 | 27 | Magic | 42% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 97 | 79 |
| 17 | Raptors | 63% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 47% | 100 | 97 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 53% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 21% | 86 | 81 |
| 12 | Pacers | 79% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 58% | 93 | 93 |
| 18 | Celtics | 42% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Mavericks | 17% | 93 | 109 |
| 2 | Heat | 83% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 24% | 98 | 92 | |
| 9 | Rockets | 76% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 24% | 92 | 110 |
| 3 | Thunder | 76% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 52% | 100 | 84 |
| 19 | Jazz | 48% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 41% | 96 | 89 |
| 22 | Suns | 59% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 55% | 101 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 66% | 101 | 117 |
| 15 | Bucks | 34% | 96 | 110 |
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 26% | 96 | 103 |
| 5 | Lakers | 74% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 52% | 101 | 78 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 98 | 95 |
| 21 | Hornets | 51% | 99 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 43% | 98 | 97 |
| 25 | Pistons | 57% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 94 | 105 |
| 7 | Knicks | 74% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 54% | 96 | 103 |
| 28 | Wizards | 46% | 95 | 94 |
Monday, December 31, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 43% | 100 | 104 |
| 9 | Rockets | 57% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 49% | 89 | 83 |
| 12 | Pacers | 51% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 91 | 91 |
| 13 | Bulls | 82% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 70% | 101 | 112 |
| 27 | Magic | 30% | 94 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 20% | 94 | 96 |
| 3 | Thunder | 80% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 22% | 94 | 73 |
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 104 | 104 |
Sunday, December 30, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 21% | 93 | 96 |
| 2 | Clippers | 79% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 49% | 98 | 96 |
| 27 | Kings | 51% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 70% | 104 | 111 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 30% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 51% | 97 | 94 |
| 25 | Pistons | 49% | 96 | 96 |
Saturday, December 29, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 93 | 100 |
| 17 | Nets | 76% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 45% | 97 | 83 |
| 14 | Warriors | 55% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 48% | 96 | 85 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 58% | 101 | 85 |
| 16 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 26% | 96 | 107 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 74% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 57% | 104 | 124 |
| 7 | Rockets | 43% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 40% | 96 | 72 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 60% | 99 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 22% | 87 | 77 |
| 13 | Bulls | 78% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 41% | 95 | 123 |
| 21 | Magic | 59% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 41% | 91 | 100 |
| 10 | Hawks | 59% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 61% | 101 | 98 | |
| 30 | Bobcats | 39% | 98 | 95 |
Friday, December 28, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 70% | 101 | 102 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 56% | 95 | 97 |
| 28 | Wizards | 44% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 30% | 90 | 91 |
| 12 | Pacers | 70% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 94 | 81 |
| 17 | Nets | 78% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 73% | 101 | 99 |
| 26 | Pistons | 27% | 93 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 46% | 97 | 104 |
| 24 | Hornets | 54% | 98 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 103 | 106 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 39% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 30% | 99 | 116 |
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 106 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 99 | 116 |
| 19 | Jazz | 39% | 95 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 71% | 104 | 105 |
| 27 | Kings | 29% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 97 | 87 |
| 5 | Lakers | 80% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 36% | 97 | 89 |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 102 | 96 |
Thursday, December 27, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 28% | 91 | 77 |
| 4 | Clippers | 72% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 19% | 94 | 105 |
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 106 | 111 |
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 29% | 90 | 99 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 71% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 43% | 95 | 87 |
| 28 | Wizards | 57% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 78% | 105 | 105 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 37% | 93 | 97 | |
| 21 | Magic | 63% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 29% | 92 | 119 |
| 10 | Hawks | 71% | 100 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 39% | 93 | 93 |
| 18 | Bucks | 61% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 41% | 101 | 87 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 59% | 104 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 18% | 94 | 80 |
| 3 | Spurs | 82% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 48% | 103 | 114 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 52% | 104 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 47% | 102 | 94 |
| 16 | Jazz | 53% | 103 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 60% | 103 | 99 |
| 20 | Suns | 40% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 40% | 98 | 91 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 102 | 109 |
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 45% | 103 | 94 |
| 6 | Lakers | 55% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 44% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Nets | 56% | 96 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 43% | 97 | 97 |
| 4 | Heat | 57% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 43% | 97 | 120 |
| 10 | Bulls | 57% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 31% | 95 | 100 |
| 3 | Clippers | 69% | 102 | 112 |
Sunday, December 23, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 100 | 96 |
| 27 | Kings | 53% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 67% | 102 | 103 |
| 18 | Suns | 33% | 96 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 23% | 96 | 91 |
| 1 | Spurs | 77% | 106 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 43% | 96 | 97 |
| 22 | Magic | 57% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 33% | 99 | 91 |
| 5 | Knicks | 67% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 34% | 94 | 92 |
| 15 | Nets | 66% | 99 | 95 |
Saturday, December 22, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 46% | 93 | 75 |
| 14 | Hawks | 54% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 28% | 95 | 89 |
| 5 | Heat | 72% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 61% | 94 | 81 |
| 26 | Hornets | 39% | 90 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 44% | 96 | 96 |
| 9 | Rockets | 56% | 98 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 27% | 94 | 94 |
| 18 | Bucks | 73% | 102 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 13% | 95 | 88 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 87% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 47% | 100 | 93 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 54% | 105 | 118 |
| 15 | Warriors | 46% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 55% | 95 | 96 |
| 29 | Wizards | 45% | 93 | 87 |