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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls27%9296
4Heat73%10089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
43.4
37.5
6
30%
4
5
2
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
46%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
42.1
33.8
27
70%
12
1
0
1
1
3
6
6
3-5
60%
12-17
7-15
71%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
36.5
21.0
13
51%
12
4
1
1
0
3
6
6
3-4
75%
5-11
2-5
45%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
29.2
24.7
10
56%
4
8
1
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
17.2
21.9
7
58%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
18.8
19.2
13
66%
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
17.8
23.8
7
44%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
17.6
12.7
8
49%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
17.3
30.0
5
32%
9
0
0
1
0
1
5
4
3-4
75%
1-6
4-9
17%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
9.4
0
1-2
47%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
7.2
0
1-2
43%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
0.9
0
0-0
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
41.1
38.3
30
71%
6
2
1
2
0
2
0
6
13-16
81%
7-9
8-14
78%
55%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
37.9
33.7
14
51%
5
5
1
1
2
4
1
4
4-4
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
32.9
34.1
22
74%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-9
78%
6-10
7-14
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
25.1
26.0
5
42%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
20.4
19.2
4
67%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
26.0
24.6
3
25%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
23.3
24.0
5
83%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
15.9
14.1
6
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
10.2
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
7.2
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
3.2
0
0-1
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
2.8
0
0-0
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.