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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Lakers34%99102
3Clippers66%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
43.6
39.1
38
67%
0
3
5
1
0
1
0
0
7-8
88%
14-19
8-16
74%
47%
1-6
17%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
36.5
31.1
12
113%
1
10
1
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
3-6
-
52%
3-4
75%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
36.2
33.9
21
56%
15
0
1
1
2
4
4
11
5-11
45%
8-14
5-9
57%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.1
35.3
30.5
2
17%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.5
27.3
33.4
2
17%
4
2
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
28.6
19.6
14
45%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
2-8
25%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
19.1
17.6
13
68%
7
0
0
0
1
0
4
3
5-8
63%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.0
10.3
17.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
3.3
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
9.9
0
0-0
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
1.6
0
0-0
38%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
41.0
34.2
30
53%
6
13
2
2
0
4
0
6
7-7
100%
10-21
4-9
48%
52%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
29.4
17.8
5
43%
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.8
28.7
30.7
24
63%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
5-7
71%
8-15
6-12
53%
54%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
27.1
24.5
8
62%
9
0
1
1
0
1
3
6
0-1
0%
4-6
4-6
67%
61%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.4
20.1
15.8
10
78%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.8
31.5
29.7
8
40%
6
4
0
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
55%
2-5
40%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.2
24.1
21.9
9
75%
6
2
1
1
3
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.1
22.0
17.1
8
50%
4
1
2
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.0
15.0
12.0
5
75%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-3
33%
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
1.2
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.8
28.8
1
4-8
46%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.2
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.3
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.