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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets51%103115
15Bucks49%102101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
38.1
35.9
29
69%
2
7
4
2
1
2
1
1
5-7
71%
9-14
6-12
64%
51%
2-4
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
34.5
30.8
5
28%
7
7
1
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
51%
0-5
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
28.9
35.5
8
45%
1
7
4
2
0
6
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
26.0
26.2
13
74%
8
2
0
1
1
2
3
5
1-4
25%
6-7
4-7
86%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
24.6
25.1
0
0%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
28.0
21.5
22
100%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
6-7
86%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
25.8
19.9
18
64%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
42%
2-6
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
20.9
17.5
18
103%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
3-3
3-5
100%
49%
3-4
75%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
2.6
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
2.6
3.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
2.6
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
2.6
2.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.6
2.6
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
37.6
40.1
16
50%
3
7
3
2
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-12
5-12
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
30.8
37.1
12
30%
2
7
2
2
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-16
7-15
31%
48%
0-3
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
24.9
11.1
10
87%
8
1
0
0
0
3
3
5
4-4
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
23.4
22.3
8
40%
4
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
18.2
23.8
4
52%
4
1
1
1
4
3
2
2
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
27.2
11.9
11
49%
15
1
2
0
2
3
7
8
1-3
33%
5-10
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
24.4
15.5
11
76%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-5
60%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.3
24.0
30.3
12
68%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
2-3
67%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
23.1
22.8
11
85%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
3.2
20.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
3.2
3.0
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
5.7
0
1-2
46%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
4.3
0
1-1
51%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.