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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Trail Blazers25%9086
7Grizzlies75%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.1
39.8
36.6
11
50%
5
4
3
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
3-8
38%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
39.0
23.4
21
75%
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
5-8
63%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
38.1
34.4
15
41%
12
3
0
1
5
1
2
10
5-7
71%
5-15
7-15
33%
48%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.5
38.0
36.4
11
39%
5
8
1
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
43%
1-4
25%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
36.8
26.4
19
58%
11
1
1
1
2
0
4
7
5-8
63%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
10.9
13.9
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
10.2
10.8
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
10.0
12.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
9.2
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
8.0
10.3
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
13.8
0
1-2
41%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
6.7
0
0-1
39%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
4.3
0
0-1
39%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
40.9
27.3
4
22%
3
1
0
2
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
4-7
22%
49%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
38.7
34.0
19
43%
9
2
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
7-19
6-12
37%
49%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
38.1
33.8
12
51%
6
3
3
1
8
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
32.8
36.1
6
34%
3
3
2
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
26.9
13.9
22
59%
13
0
1
0
0
2
7
6
8-8
100%
7-15
3-5
47%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
21.3
19.6
10
50%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
20.8
17.7
9
67%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
15.2
11.1
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.6
5.3
2.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
32.1
1
6-12
51%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.7
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.