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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers47%9175
16Celtics53%9294
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
31.9
38.5
9
23%
7
4
3
2
0
3
2
5
1-3
33%
4-13
4-9
31%
48%
0-5
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
30.3
30.5
5
32%
3
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2-4
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
29.5
27.5
6
68%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
28.5
32.4
10
26%
10
1
2
1
1
3
3
7
2-2
100%
4-17
6-13
24%
49%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
24.4
26.5
7
51%
10
0
0
0
1
3
2
8
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
22.9
15.8
19
65%
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
5-8
63%
7-11
2-4
64%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
21.8
18.3
3
17%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
18.5
9.0
5
51%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
17.7
18.7
4
34%
4
0
0
1
2
2
3
1
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
12.0
0.5
7
90%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
2.5
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
15.5
0
2-3
48%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
7.6
0
1-1
45%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
29.6
33.2
18
60%
5
7
2
2
1
3
0
5
0-2
0%
9-14
4-8
64%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
29.0
30.6
13
57%
6
5
1
1
1
1
1
5
1-3
33%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
24.1
28.4
18
53%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
22.7
13.5
6
27%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
22.5
21.7
4
34%
8
1
1
0
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
29.7
20.3
7
36%
10
1
0
1
1
2
4
6
3-6
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
23.1
19.4
13
72%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
19.0
22.3
2
25%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
15.4
15.3
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
14.6
29.4
6
36%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
5.9
2.2
6
75%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
4.3
1.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.