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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics29%93102
5Knicks71%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
37.7
28.4
19
67%
10
2
3
1
0
1
2
8
7-7
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
33.0
18.7
13
59%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
31.8
26.4
6
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.3
30.7
23.6
2
14%
4
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
27.5
31.7
23
64%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
7-9
4-9
78%
47%
3-9
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
26.9
18.7
16
63%
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
20.0
16.3
5
42%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
19.2
23.4
10
74%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.1
13.2
3.0
8
93%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-3
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
34.0
2
4-9
49%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
10.9
0
0-1
43%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.3
40.7
33.6
13
75%
17
1
0
1
0
1
8
9
5-6
83%
4-6
4-7
67%
65%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
36.9
37.8
20
34%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-7
57%
2-14
7-15
14%
48%
4-12
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.8
33.3
29.0
8
80%
3
6
1
2
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.8
18.3
14.6
3
38%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.8
9.9
11.8
4
50%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.3
38.6
31.4
24
57%
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
3
6-7
86%
3-9
5-11
33%
47%
4-9
44%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
27.8
18.4
13
75%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
5-6
83%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
16.1
24.1
9
113%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
3-3
100%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
14.8
17.2
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.8
3.6
11.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
0.1
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.3
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.3
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.5
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.