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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
January 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers24%9192
11Bulls76%100118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
34.8
32.5
6
31%
6
3
0
1
2
2
2
4
2-4
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
45%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.8
32.0
34.9
14
54%
8
3
1
1
1
2
4
4
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.8
28.9
36.7
15
55%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
2-9
6-13
22%
47%
2-2
100%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
27.2
32.4
8
46%
1
1
1
1
1
3
1
0
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
24.1
28.7
15
66%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
4-7
57%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.1
27.8
25.6
18
66%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
6-6
100%
6-10
3-8
60%
40%
0-1
0%
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.4
20.3
6.3
4
67%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.3
15.6
17.1
4
50%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
15.5
3.1
4
40%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.7
8.9
3.2
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.8
4.9
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
14.5
0
1-2
41%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
38.4
39.5
19
71%
5
7
4
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
32.3
28.2
11
41%
11
4
0
1
4
5
7
4
1-1
100%
5-13
4-7
38%
53%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
29.4
36.5
24
61%
11
4
1
1
1
1
2
9
8-8
100%
8-16
8-16
50%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
20.7
19.6
8
46%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
20.2
26.7
6
75%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
25.1
21.1
15
84%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
24.2
18.7
14
83%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
23.4
24.2
18
87%
7
0
1
1
2
3
2
5
2-3
67%
8-9
3-7
89%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
10.1
14.8
3
52%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
8.7
5.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
3.1
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
2.1
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
2.1
0.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.