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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Mavericks41%9894
19Jazz59%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
37.9
33.0
13
44%
1
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
45%
1-8
13%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
32.1
25.7
20
63%
5
5
0
0
1
3
0
5
4-4
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
2-5
40%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
29.3
33.4
11
54%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
28.0
29.2
6
38%
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
27.4
20.4
14
51%
9
0
1
0
1
0
2
7
4-4
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
23.8
28.6
7
55%
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-3
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
20.2
20.4
11
70%
9
0
0
1
2
1
2
7
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
18.7
12.4
7
44%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
48%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
16.5
10.2
3
38%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
4.0
12.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
2.0
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
4.4
0
1-1
42%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.9
35.0
29.9
14
47%
9
2
2
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
52%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.0
32.3
30.1
15
45%
11
4
0
1
1
0
1
10
5-6
83%
5-14
7-14
36%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.3
32.0
24.7
10
54%
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
4-5
80%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.9
21.2
21.2
5
36%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.6
16.3
24.0
3
38%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.8
34.4
22.4
27
75%
6
5
1
1
2
0
0
6
7-9
78%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
4-5
80%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.5
22.0
16.9
13
59%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
8-9
89%
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.6
18.1
19.1
3
75%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.6
15.3
8.1
6
50%
7
0
1
0
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.5
13.3
24.5
4
38%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-5
40%
1-3
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
12.1
0
1-3
47%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.1
7.3
0
1-2
47%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.2
4.3
0
0-1
57%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.3
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.