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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies61%97113
27Kings39%9381
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
34.5
27.7
17
62%
7
4
2
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
33.1
37.1
8
35%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-8
6-13
13%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
32.9
33.1
15
59%
5
8
1
2
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
29.1
29.8
10
44%
5
4
3
2
2
1
3
2
2-3
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.9
23.1
35.2
13
92%
6
3
0
1
2
1
2
4
7-7
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
25.5
16.0
26
118%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
44%
6-7
86%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
20.4
18.0
7
51%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
20.3
16.3
10
46%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
17.8
16.2
5
51%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.7
3.4
0.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.6
7.0
0
1-2
52%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
30.1
31.1
17
71%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
29.4
24.9
9
31%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-7
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
27.5
31.6
10
45%
8
1
1
1
0
4
2
6
4-5
80%
3-9
6-14
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
24.0
28.8
12
68%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
17.1
22.6
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
22.7
21.3
8
68%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
21.4
14.3
8
50%
12
0
1
0
0
4
5
7
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
19.9
15.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
42%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
14.9
21.8
4
67%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
12.4
14.5
5
53%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
8.6
8.4
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
7.2
2.5
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
5.1
9.3
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.