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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Magic39%97119
20Trail Blazers61%101125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
47.6
33.7
21
44%
3
12
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
2-11
18%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
47.3
35.4
17
52%
13
5
0
1
1
2
2
11
1-1
100%
8-16
6-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
46.6
37.4
24
58%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
1-4
25%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
19.0
17.3
6
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
16.7
13.2
8
68%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
39.1
24.0
12
87%
6
8
0
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
32.9
29.9
29
83%
1
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
6-10
60%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
5.4
8.3
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
5.3
20.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
5.1
8.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
8.8
0
1-2
52%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
5.2
0
1-1
46%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.1
45.0
37.2
16
51%
4
10
1
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
53%
2-5
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
43.7
29.3
20
65%
15
2
0
1
1
1
5
10
2-3
67%
9-14
5-10
64%
52%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.5
43.0
36.5
18
48%
3
10
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
0-6
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
42.4
35.7
27
58%
10
5
0
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
12-22
8-16
55%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
42.3
30.8
24
83%
3
4
1
1
2
0
0
3
6-8
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
4-7
57%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
14.6
11.4
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
13.9
14.2
8
51%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.4
13.5
10.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.9
6.8
10.0
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.9
14.2
0
2-3
55%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
6.2
0
0-1
46%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
6.2
0
0-1
43%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.6
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.