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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats18%8988
20Pacers82%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
33.1
14.5
13
43%
7
2
1
0
1
2
1
6
3-5
60%
5-12
2-5
42%
42%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
31.0
29.5
16
71%
5
4
3
1
3
2
0
5
5-5
100%
4-7
4-10
57%
42%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
27.7
21.6
12
50%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
43%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
21.4
21.0
8
100%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
20.6
27.9
4
29%
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.1
26.6
18.1
4
50%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
25.7
24.1
21
69%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
8-13
3-8
62%
44%
1-1
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
21.8
25.0
7
28%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-10
3-8
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.6
17.2
18.6
3
75%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
14.9
14.1
0
0%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
12.4
0
2-4
39%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.3
8.6
0
1-2
48%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
5.1
0
0-1
38%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
41.8
27.3
19
53%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
3-7
43%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
38.6
30.3
17
65%
7
2
4
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
52%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
38.4
31.4
14
47%
12
10
1
1
0
4
6
6
0-0
-
7-15
6-12
47%
52%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
21.9
24.0
9
46%
9
1
1
0
1
3
8
1
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
6.5
4.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
28.2
19.5
18
84%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
4-8
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
26.1
18.2
5
46%
8
2
2
1
3
0
1
7
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
21.9
18.1
8
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
2-8
25%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
9.6
15.7
3
44%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.8
7.0
3.7
3
50%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
5.0
0
1-1
55%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
4.0
0
0-0
49%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
0.7
0
0-0
53%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.7
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.