Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Magic | 19% | 92 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 89 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | 52% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Bulls | 71% | 99 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Mavericks | 46% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Heat | 71% | 104 | 128 |
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Friday, January 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 93 | 78 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 77% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 101 | 91 |
 | 13 | Celtics | 49% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 35% | 96 | 79 |
 | 14 | Nets | 65% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 38% | 96 | 95 |
| 10 | Hawks | 62% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 39% | 94 | 108 |
 | 6 | Knicks | 61% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Grizzlies | 46% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 47% | 96 | 92 |
| 22 | Hornets | 53% | 97 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 36% | 95 | 103 |
 | 16 | Bucks | 64% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 54% | 104 | 116 |
 | 9 | Lakers | 46% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, January 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 54% | 96 | 76 |
| 13 | Pacers | 46% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 117 |
| 27 | Kings | 51% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 62% | 103 | 90 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 99 | 92 |
Wednesday, January 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 32% | 93 | 72 |
| 15 | Raptors | 68% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 67% | 102 | 112 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 63% | 101 | 83 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 37% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 31% | 93 | 79 |
| 13 | Celtics | 69% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 33% | 92 | 104 |
| 11 | Bulls | 67% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 53% | 103 | 79 |
| 22 | Hornets | 47% | 102 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 22% | 98 | 105 |
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 21% | 93 | 84 |
| 3 | Thunder | 79% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 25% | 96 | 105 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 75% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 21% | 93 | 93 |
| 2 | Clippers | 79% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 57% | 97 | 94 |
| 17 | Warriors | 43% | 94 | 87 |
Tuesday, January 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 109 |
| 24 | 76ers | 49% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 60% | 96 | 77 |
| 16 | Pacers | 40% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 38% | 97 | 99 |
| 17 | Bucks | 62% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 46% | 106 | 112 |
| 9 | Rockets | 54% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 51% | 98 | 103 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 108 |
Monday, January 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 76% | 100 | 99 |
| 28 | Wizards | 24% | 91 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 29% | 93 | 102 |
| 5 | Knicks | 71% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 91 | 92 |
| 11 | Bulls | 76% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 104 | 88 |
| 22 | Hornets | 27% | 95 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 41% | 98 | 94 |
| 19 | Jazz | 59% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 61% | 97 | 113 |
| 27 | Kings | 39% | 93 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 39% | 97 | 119 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 101 | 125 |
Sunday, January 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 65% | 101 | 104 |
| 18 | Raptors | 35% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 15% | 89 | 71 |
| 3 | Heat | 85% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 29% | 95 | 108 |
| 25 | Pistons | 71% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 61% | 96 | 92 |
| 22 | Suns | 39% | 92 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 32% | 101 | 112 |
| 6 | Lakers | 68% | 107 | 105 |
Saturday, January 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 33% | 92 | 89 |
| 10 | Hawks | 67% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 65% | 101 | 114 |
| 27 | Magic | 35% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 40% | 91 | 80 |
| 18 | Pacers | 60% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 32% | 96 | 93 |
| 14 | Nets | 68% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 69% | 106 | 112 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 31% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 96 | 102 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 69% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 41% | 98 | 99 | |
| 20 | Mavericks | 59% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 15% | 92 | 86 |
| 1 | Spurs | 85% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 27% | 96 | 91 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 73% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 30% | 97 | 89 |
| 2 | Clippers | 70% | 104 | 115 |
Friday, January 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 36% | 97 | 105 |
| 18 | Raptors | 64% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 62% | 96 | 115 |
| 28 | Wizards | 38% | 92 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 53% | 100 | 106 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 47% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 27% | 92 | 96 |
| 4 | Heat | 73% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 58% | 98 | 84 |
| 25 | Pistons | 42% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 47% | 91 | 75 |
| 16 | Celtics | 53% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 90 | 86 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 75% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 22% | 92 | 85 |
| 2 | Thunder | 78% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 51% | 103 | 115 |
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 47% | 99 | 87 |
| 21 | Suns | 53% | 100 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 102 |
| 3 | Clippers | 66% | 104 | 107 |
Thursday, January 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 48% | 100 | 83 |
| 5 | Knicks | 52% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 30% | 97 | 101 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 70% | 104 | 97 |
Wednesday, January 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 97 | 79 |
| 17 | Raptors | 63% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 58% | 95 | 96 |
| 27 | Magic | 42% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 47% | 100 | 97 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 53% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 21% | 86 | 81 |
| 12 | Pacers | 79% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 58% | 93 | 93 |
| 18 | Celtics | 42% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 17% | 93 | 109 |
| 2 | Heat | 83% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 66% | 101 | 117 |
| 15 | Bucks | 34% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 24% | 98 | 92 | |
| 9 | Rockets | 76% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 24% | 92 | 110 |
| 3 | Thunder | 76% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 52% | 100 | 84 |
| 19 | Jazz | 48% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 41% | 96 | 89 |
| 22 | Suns | 59% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 55% | 101 | 94 |
| 13 | Warriors | 45% | 99 | 115 |
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 54% | 96 | 103 |
| 28 | Wizards | 46% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 94 | 105 |
| 7 | Knicks | 74% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 43% | 98 | 97 |
| 25 | Pistons | 57% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 98 | 95 |
| 21 | Hornets | 51% | 99 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 52% | 101 | 78 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 26% | 96 | 103 |
| 5 | Lakers | 74% | 105 | 99 |
Monday, December 31, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 49% | 89 | 83 |
| 12 | Pacers | 51% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 91 | 91 |
| 13 | Bulls | 82% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 70% | 101 | 112 |
| 27 | Magic | 30% | 94 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 43% | 100 | 104 |
| 9 | Rockets | 57% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 20% | 94 | 96 |
| 3 | Thunder | 80% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 22% | 94 | 73 |
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 104 | 104 |
Sunday, December 30, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 51% | 97 | 94 |
| 25 | Pistons | 49% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 70% | 104 | 111 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 30% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 49% | 98 | 96 |
| 27 | Kings | 51% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 21% | 93 | 96 |
| 2 | Clippers | 79% | 104 | 107 |