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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat71%104128
26Kings29%9799
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
30.1
22.6
34
106%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
10-13
77%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
29.1
39.6
20
76%
5
7
5
2
2
1
1
4
6-7
86%
7-9
8-14
78%
56%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
28.3
35.5
16
63%
4
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
25.1
33.7
11
72%
5
7
2
1
4
2
1
4
5-6
83%
3-4
7-14
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
18.0
24.6
5
53%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
24.0
10.7
4
52%
7
2
1
0
3
1
4
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
20.9
14.6
6
50%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
20.9
18.4
12
75%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
4-8
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
17.1
23.5
10
53%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-5
20%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.4
12.0
2.3
8
80%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
2-4
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
5.8
1.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-2
0%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
5.8
1.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.9
2.9
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.9
33.1
26.7
34
73%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
7-14
3-6
50%
50%
6-8
75%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
32.7
31.6
11
45%
8
4
1
1
0
3
3
5
3-3
100%
4-11
6-14
36%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
22.1
26.7
2
33%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
18.5
31.7
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
14.1
24.5
3
38%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
1-4
25%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
25.1
21.3
8
34%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
4-6
67%
2-9
3-7
22%
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.8
24.1
14.2
10
51%
10
2
0
0
0
1
7
3
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
21.4
8.2
5
31%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
1-4
25%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
16.0
14.6
11
59%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-3
33%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
14.8
12.4
9
65%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
13.7
7.6
2
100%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
4.4
4.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
5.3
0
1-1
42%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.