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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Suns29%9297
9Bulls71%9981
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
37.8
33.1
8
69%
10
3
0
1
2
1
3
7
2-4
50%
3-4
5-10
75%
53%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
28.2
28.7
22
66%
7
3
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
9-15
6-12
60%
48%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
27.1
29.8
2
17%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.1
25.2
22.2
11
71%
4
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2-4
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
22.0
31.8
7
36%
0
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
25.3
13.9
13
72%
6
5
1
0
1
4
0
6
7-7
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
22.9
3.6
3
38%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
20.9
5.1
20
71%
6
1
0
0
1
5
1
5
0-0
-
10-14
1-2
71%
43%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
18.7
16.8
7
70%
3
1
0
1
4
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
10.2
11.7
4
34%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
0.9
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
0.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
36.5
1
3-6
52%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
39.3
38.6
13
39%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
4-14
6-12
29%
49%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
30.9
32.0
10
34%
13
1
1
1
1
2
7
6
2-4
50%
4-13
4-8
31%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
26.0
33.1
15
49%
10
2
0
1
0
1
4
6
3-3
100%
6-14
8-14
43%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
23.1
25.6
1
13%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
21.0
18.7
12
67%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
23.5
21.1
7
39%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
1-4
25%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
22.1
12.8
13
78%
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
3-3
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
20.7
26.9
8
30%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
19.0
21.8
2
50%
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
8.1
4.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
3.4
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-2
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
1.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
1.4
1.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.