for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies54%9583
16Mavericks46%94104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
28.1
36.7
12
51%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
24.0
31.2
9
46%
4
0
2
2
1
1
3
1
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
23.2
35.4
7
60%
1
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
21.6
33.0
8
45%
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
19.8
34.6
6
43%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
6-13
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
29.1
22.5
9
73%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
27.9
17.8
11
37%
9
0
0
1
0
1
4
5
1-4
25%
5-12
3-6
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
21.1
12.9
2
11%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
0-3
0%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
16.1
1.5
10
55%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-7
57%
3-6
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
16.0
3.2
2
20%
7
0
0
0
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
51%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
13.1
9.9
7
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
13.8
0
1-2
48%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
28.9
35.3
11
74%
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
2-2
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
27.8
31.6
17
77%
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
6
4-7
57%
2-5
5-11
40%
47%
3-3
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
26.0
26.4
20
77%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
48%
2-3
67%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
25.1
30.8
10
59%
1
6
4
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
23.4
20.2
14
54%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
7-13
4-9
54%
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
21.4
27.5
8
58%
4
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-6
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
18.1
18.4
10
73%
9
0
0
1
1
0
2
7
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
18.0
14.5
5
53%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
16.1
5.2
5
66%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
15.1
11.0
2
25%
4
4
1
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
7.8
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
6.6
6.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
5.7
5.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.