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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Timberwolves48%93101
25Wizards52%94114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
31.0
24.4
4
23%
5
6
1
1
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
38%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
30.8
27.4
18
44%
11
1
1
1
0
0
3
8
5-8
63%
5-14
4-8
36%
47%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
30.2
31.0
14
58%
4
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
28.9
36.2
17
68%
4
2
0
2
1
3
2
2
6-8
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
18.5
19.3
2
33%
2
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
29.1
26.2
8
37%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-4
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
26.3
17.7
15
69%
7
1
1
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.5
21.4
14.0
9
52%
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
2
3-6
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
20.7
22.3
13
48%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
3.1
4.4
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
10.6
0
2-4
53%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
9.9
0
1-2
45%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.1
0
1-3
47%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
26.8
29.3
13
93%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
3-4
75%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.6
25.3
27.7
16
67%
1
0
0
1
4
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
43%
2-5
40%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
23.5
27.2
8
67%
8
4
2
1
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.4
22.0
27.3
14
65%
7
3
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-4
50%
6-9
5-10
67%
54%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
21.0
25.9
14
62%
1
5
0
1
2
2
0
1
2-3
67%
6-10
4-9
60%
44%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.3
23.9
20.6
6
43%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.3
22.8
19.9
19
87%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
3-4
75%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
18.4
3.9
6
75%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
18.1
18.4
6
50%
2
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
16.8
14.9
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.1
15.3
20.3
10
56%
2
1
1
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.7
3.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.2
3.1
2.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.