Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 25, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 48% | 93 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Celtics | 43% | 91 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 20% | 92 | 88 |
 | 1 | Heat | 80% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 63% | 102 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Bulls | 61% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Nets | 37% | 90 | 77 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Hornets | 51% | 103 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Mavericks | 42% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Thunder | 75% | 106 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Lakers | 61% | 104 | 102 |
Thursday, January 24, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 97 |
 | 24 | Magic | 55% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Knicks | 52% | 96 | 89 |
| 14 | Celtics | 48% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 23, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 69% | 100 | 104 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 31% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 24% | 93 | 116 |
| 2 | Heat | 76% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 27% | 90 | 82 |
| 11 | Bulls | 73% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 37% | 93 | 93 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Rockets | 53% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 53% | 96 | 91 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 47% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 24% | 96 | 102 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 76% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 37% | 94 | 88 |
| 18 | Jazz | 63% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 48% | 101 | 106 |
| 28 | Kings | 52% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 58% | 103 | 99 |
| 16 | Warriors | 42% | 101 | 104 |
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 63% | 99 | 90 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 37% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 43% | 97 | 90 |
| 23 | Pistons | 57% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Bucks | 70% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 45% | 98 | 109 |
| 3 | Clippers | 55% | 100 | 97 |
Monday, January 21, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 41% | 86 | 82 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 59% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 97 | 105 |
| 17 | Hornets | 67% | 103 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 74% | 108 | 100 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 41% | 92 | 96 |
| 18 | Hawks | 59% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 34% | 96 | 88 |
| 5 | Knicks | 66% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 63% | 101 | 99 |
| 21 | Warriors | 37% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 100 | 90 |
| 24 | 76ers | 31% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 38% | 97 | 83 |
| 10 | Bulls | 62% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 38% | 96 | 98 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 100 | 95 |
Sunday, January 20, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 16 | Raptors | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 54% | 101 | 111 |
| 24 | Magic | 46% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 56% | 96 | 88 |
| 25 | Pistons | 44% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 51% | 102 | 118 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 49% | 101 | 121 |
Saturday, January 19, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 55% | 102 | 97 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 45% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 98 | 98 |
| 18 | Hawks | 38% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 42% | 88 | 85 |
| 9 | Bulls | 58% | 91 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 38% | 97 | 116 |
| 19 | Hornets | 62% | 101 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 47% | 101 | 79 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 53% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 95 | 98 |
| 15 | Jazz | 73% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 45% | 99 | 110 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 17% | 89 | 87 |
| 4 | Clippers | 83% | 102 | 94 |
Friday, January 18, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 49% | 92 | 100 |
| 13 | Celtics | 51% | 93 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 52% | 96 | 101 |
| 25 | 76ers | 48% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 27% | 95 | 106 |
| 23 | Magic | 73% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 45% | 97 | 95 |
| 11 | Pacers | 55% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 40% | 95 | 89 |
| 12 | Nets | 60% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 25% | 92 | 69 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 75% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 23% | 95 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 25% | 93 | 112 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 75% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 56% | 100 | 117 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 44% | 98 | 114 |
Thursday, January 17, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 59% | 99 | 102 |
| 23 | Pistons | 41% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 62% | 98 | 90 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 38% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 53% | 99 | 98 |
| 26 | Suns | 47% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 48% | 101 | 99 |
| 9 | Lakers | 52% | 102 | 90 |
Wednesday, January 16, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 55% | 95 | 107 |
| 18 | Raptors | 45% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 54% | 95 | 86 |
| 25 | Magic | 46% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 41% | 94 | 95 |
| 19 | Hawks | 59% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 31% | 91 | 90 | |
| 12 | Celtics | 69% | 98 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 36% | 98 | 97 |
| 3 | Thunder | 64% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 44% | 102 | 100 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 56% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 32% | 90 | 82 |
| 1 | Spurs | 68% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 46% | 98 | 94 |
| 27 | Kings | 54% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 97 | 93 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 56% | 103 | 92 |
| 13 | Warriors | 44% | 101 | 75 |
Tuesday, January 15, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 47% | 94 | 111 | |
| 24 | 76ers | 53% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 78% | 100 | 103 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 90 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 41% | 95 | 106 |
| 17 | Nets | 59% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 44% | 101 | 117 |
| 6 | Rockets | 56% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 98 | 111 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 41% | 100 | 88 |
| 14 | Lakers | 59% | 103 | 104 |
Monday, January 14, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 51% | 97 | 91 |
| 28 | Wizards | 49% | 96 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 19% | 90 | 89 |
| 13 | Celtics | 81% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 42% | 93 | 58 |
| 10 | Bulls | 58% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 53% | 94 | 99 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 47% | 93 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 35% | 95 | 98 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 65% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 58% | 100 | 97 |
| 19 | Jazz | 42% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 61% | 100 | 102 |
| 26 | Suns | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 34% | 98 | 118 |
| 27 | Kings | 66% | 104 | 124 |
Sunday, January 13, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 27% | 94 | 87 | |
| 6 | Knicks | 73% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 43% | 96 | 107 |
| 15 | Raptors | 57% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 46% | 92 | 86 |
| 20 | Nets | 54% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 18% | 92 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 82% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 34% | 100 | 105 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 66% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 62% | 103 | 87 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 98 | 93 |
| 14 | Lakers | 75% | 107 | 113 |
Saturday, January 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 19% | 92 | 104 |
| 2 | Clippers | 81% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 58% | 96 | 83 |
| 28 | Wizards | 42% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 89 | 88 |
| 20 | Pacers | 82% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 57% | 101 | 100 |
| 27 | 76ers | 43% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 48% | 98 | 90 |
| 24 | Pistons | 52% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 29% | 92 | 97 |
| 9 | Bulls | 71% | 99 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 54% | 95 | 83 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 46% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 71% | 104 | 128 |
| 26 | Kings | 29% | 97 | 99 |