FinalWin Prob.pScore
2420%91
88
180%103
110
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
97.89096.3
MIA logo MIA
123.68983.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETMISS English 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMISS Bynum 13' Jump Shot88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAAndersen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Jerebko 6' Floating Jump Shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43DETDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 283
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25DETEnglish 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIALewis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAHEAT Rebound81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAWade Putback Dunk (29 PTS)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DETMISS Drummond 10' Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIACole 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:04DETMISS Villanueva 12' Jump Bank Shot79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:49DETAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51DETMISS Villanueva 18' Turnaround Hook Shot79
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:03DETPistons Rebound79
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Dunk79
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 6:21DETBynum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)79
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:28DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:49DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15DETBynum Traveling Turnover (P4.T18)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:21DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22DETMISS Villanueva 1' Driving Layup74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Cole 8' Jump Shot74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 274
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 274
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:32DETDrummond 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS)74
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 8:44DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIACole 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:13DETVillanueva 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:19DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:43DETBynum Foul Turnover (P3.T17)70
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:12DETBattier STEAL (1 STL)70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:16DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)70
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:17DETMISS Stuckey Tip Shot70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:18DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Stuckey 5' Jump Bank Shot70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (25 PTS)70
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:57DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 10:57DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:13MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)68
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:21DETMonroe Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)68
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 11:41DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Allen 1' Layup68
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET68
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound68
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)68
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)67
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)66
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS James 1' Reverse Dunk66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 1:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 1:05DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)66
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 1:56DETMonroe 2' Jump Shot (29 PTS)66
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 2:20MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)64
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Monroe 20' Jump Shot64
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 3:02MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 6 AST)64
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 3:26DETMonroe 7' Hook Shot (27 PTS)64
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:44MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 4:01DETMonroe 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)62
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 4:19DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot60
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 4:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 4:45DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot60
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 4:46DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 4:47DETMISS Monroe Tip Shot60
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 4:48DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 4:49DETMISS Singler 16' Jump Shot60
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 4:57DETMISS Knight Free Throw Technical60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 5:21MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)60
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 5:33DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)60
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 5:37DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 5:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 5:48DETMISS Singler 3' Jump Shot58
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 6:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)58
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 6:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)58
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 6:26DETMISS Knight 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 6:49MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 6:57DETMISS Maxiell 9' Turnaround Jump Shot58
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 7:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot58
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 7:47DETMonroe 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)58
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 256
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 8:18DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 8:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 8:31DETWade STEAL (3 STL)55
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 8:41MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)55
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 8:58DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 9:04DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 9:30DETChalmers STEAL (4 STL)53
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 9:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 9:32DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot53
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 9:46MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)53
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 9:58DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 10:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 10:30DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)53
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)53
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 11:29DETMonroe 10' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)53
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q3 - 11:50MIAJames 2' Running Dunk (17 PTS)51
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q3 - 11:53DETJames STEAL (1 STL)51
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET51
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound51
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETWade BLOCK (1 BLK)51
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)51
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETBynum 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)51
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETPrince 9' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)49
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)47
4.6%
60
95.4%
Q2 - 1:10DETMonroe Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)47
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)47
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 1:34DETWade STEAL (2 STL)47
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (James 3 AST)47
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q2 - 2:07DETSingler 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)47
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 245
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 2:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 2:42DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot45
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)45
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q2 - 3:22DETChalmers STEAL (3 STL)45
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q2 - 3:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 3:32DETChalmers STEAL (2 STL)45
9.9%
51
90.1%
Q2 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)45
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)45
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 4:01DETVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q2 - 4:06MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)45
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 4:09DETAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)45
15.5%
47
84.5%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)45
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 4:46DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)45
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAHEAT Rebound45
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup45
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 5:14DETDrummond 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)45
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 5:42MIAJames 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (8 PTS)43
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 5:58DETMISS Bynum 12' Fadeaway Jumper43
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMiller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)43
25.6%
40
74.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)43
28.2%
38
71.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
30.0%
38
70.0%
Q2 - 7:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 7:09DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 243
31.4%
36
68.6%
Q2 - 7:09DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 243
33.1%
36
66.9%
Q2 - 7:11DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot43
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 7:22DETMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 8:01DETBynum 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 8:29MIAWade 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)41
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 8:34DETCole STEAL (1 STL)41
35.1%
32
64.9%
Q2 - 8:38DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot41
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q2 - 8:55DETDaye 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)41
35.1%
32
64.9%
Q2 - 9:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
31.8%
32
68.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 9:31DETMonroe 1' Layup (17 PTS)39
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIABosh Dunk (7 PTS)37
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 10:06DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)37
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 10:07DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 10:08DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot35
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 10:09DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 10:10DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup35
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 10:32DETMISS Daye 19' Jump Shot35
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 10:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Battier 1' Driving Layup35
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 10:58DETStuckey 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS)35
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 11:03MIAJump Ball Cole vs. Monroe: Tip to Stuckey33
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 11:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 11:33DETBynum 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 11:34DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q2 - 11:35DETMISS Daye 20' Jump Shot31
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETStuckey 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)31
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
17.3%
29
82.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)29
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 228
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMonroe 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)28
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q1 - 1:00DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)26
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q1 - 1:16MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)24
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q1 - 1:28DETAllen STEAL (1 STL)24
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 1:56MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q1 - 2:17DETDrummond Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)24
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:29DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot22
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 2:48DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 2:48DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 3:07MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 3:24DETMaxiell 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)20
16.7%
20
83.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 3:56DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
16.7%
18
83.3%
Q1 - 4:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot16
18.6%
15
81.4%
Q1 - 4:45DETMonroe 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)16
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 4:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 4:59DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot14
15.6%
15
84.4%
Q1 - 5:25MIAJames 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 5:47DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 5:47DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
17.1%
11
82.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Dunk12
18.0%
11
82.0%
Q1 - 6:29DETKnight 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
17.2%
11
82.8%
Q1 - 6:52DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS James 12' Jump Bank Shot10
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot10
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 7:14DETMISS Singler 20' Jump Shot10
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 7:38MIABosh 9' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 7:53DETKnight 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)10
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 8:21DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)8
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 8:30DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot5
12.5%
9
87.5%
Q1 - 8:35DETWade STEAL (1 STL)5
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 8:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 25
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 8:57DETMonroe 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 9:41DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)3
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 9:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:53DETMISS Maxiell 3' Layup0
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:56DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:57DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot0
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 10:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 10:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 10:20DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:54DETMISS Singler 2' Driving Reverse Layup0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJames 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:14DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Monroe: Tip to Chalmers0
15.2%
0
84.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
19
31
61%
MIA
24
34
71%
Midrange
DET
11
29
38%
MIA
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
DET
16
23
70%
MIA
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe3174%15.5 / 21
W. Bynum1372%6.5 / 9
B. Knight956%4.5 / 8
A. Daye975%4.5 / 6
T. Prince857%4.0 / 7
A. Drummond643%3.0 / 7
R. Stuckey429%2.0 / 7
K. Singler217%1.0 / 6
J. Maxiell225%1.0 / 4
C. Villanueva220%1.0 / 5
K. English250%1.0 / 2
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2966%14.5 / 22
L. James2368%11.5 / 17
C. Bosh1458%7.0 / 12
R. Allen1169%5.5 / 8
N. Cole744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem6100%3.0 / 3
R. Lewis583%2.5 / 3
S. Battier338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
M. Miller2100%1.0 / 1
C. Andersen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+14
-18
86
MIA
77
+12
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
112.1
DET 97.8 +25.8
MIA 123.6
Pace
90.9
90.9
DET 96.3 +12.7
MIA 83.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
DET 15.0 +2.3
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
55.2%
DET 50.0%
MIA 59.1% +9.1%
TO %
15.9%
14.5%
DET 18.8%
MIA 12.1% +6.7%
ORB %
28.3%
22.2%
DET 30.8% +2.7%
MIA 28.1%
FTrt
28.2
29.7
DET 31.9 +2.0
MIA 29.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.0%
DET 32.4%
MIA 55.8% +23.4%
STL %
7.6%
9.5%
DET 10.0%
MIA 13.5% +3.5%
BLK %
8.0%
9.1%
DET 3.3%
MIA 6.7% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
57.0%
DET 51.2%
MIA 61.8% +10.6%
Rim FG%
55.8%
65.9%
DET 61.3%
MIA 70.6% +9.3%
Mid FG%
36.1%
41.9%
DET 37.9%
MIA 53.8% +15.9%
3P %
35.6%
39.6%
DET 33.3% +3.9%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
69.9%
75.4%
DET 69.6%
MIA 82.6% +13.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.1%
34.8%
DET 43.1%
MIA 44.2% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
33.2%
36.7%
DET 40.3%
MIA 33.8% +6.5%
3P Att. %
21.7%
28.5%
DET 16.7%
MIA 22.1% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points88110
Rebounds3536
Assists1124
Steals912
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)27 (0)
Field Goals34-7243-77
At-the-Rim FG19-3124-34
Midrange FG11-2914-26
2-Point FG30-6038-60
3-Point FG4-125-17
Free Throws16-2319-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
34.0
31
74%
12
0
1
0
3
3
6
6
7-8
88%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 212 · 33
28.6
8
57%
6
2
0
0
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 182 · 21
27.6
9
56%
0
5
1
0
3
3
0
0
1-3
33%
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'8" 228 · 25
20.6
2
17%
0
1
3
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 30
18.7
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 279 · 19
25.2
6
43%
7
1
3
2
2
3
1
6
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 27
24.5
4
29%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 30
22.4
13
72%
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 220 · 25
19.4
9
75%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 232 · 28
11.9
2
20%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 231 · 26
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
3.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 225 · 33
#32 · F · 6'7" 222 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · C · 6'11" 254 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
51%
35
11
9
2
18
0
12
23
16-23
70%
30-60
50%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.