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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons20%9288
1Heat80%103110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
34.0
33.3
31
76%
12
0
1
1
0
3
6
6
7-8
88%
12-17
6-12
71%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.9
28.6
31.0
8
57%
6
2
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
27.6
30.8
9
54%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-3
33%
4-4
3-7
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
20.6
28.2
2
17%
0
1
3
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
18.7
25.9
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.5
25.2
21.7
6
44%
7
1
3
1
2
2
1
6
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.8
24.5
23.9
4
29%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.1
22.4
20.5
13
74%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
19.4
8.0
9
78%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
11.9
9.4
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
3.5
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
3.5
2.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.5
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
34.5
34.0
29
65%
5
7
3
1
1
5
1
4
5-5
100%
12-19
7-13
63%
53%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
33.0
38.1
23
69%
7
7
1
2
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
9-13
8-14
69%
57%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
29.7
33.6
14
57%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
4-5
80%
5-9
6-11
56%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
27.1
28.3
6
44%
2
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
18.3
17.7
6
100%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
23.3
25.1
11
71%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
19.5
14.6
7
41%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
17.0
12.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
16.1
20.2
3
38%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
12.0
7.2
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
3.5
5.3
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
3.5
4.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
2.3
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.