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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz39%10084
11Lakers61%104102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.0
31.4
29.6
10
45%
6
0
4
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.1
29.0
31.6
12
40%
7
0
1
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-14
7-14
36%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.3
26.7
31.0
10
50%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.9
23.0
28.8
6
25%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-10
2-4
30%
43%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.6
22.2
19.9
7
58%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.5
24.5
20.8
14
104%
5
0
2
1
1
0
4
1
4-4
100%
5-5
3-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.8
22.8
26.5
13
53%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-5
60%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.6
21.3
15.7
2
20%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.5
18.1
6.1
3
39%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.7
10.5
12.1
2
53%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
3.6
13.1
5
73%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.3
3.6
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.9
3.3
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
38.6
33.1
17
50%
5
0
1
2
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
47%
5-11
45%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
37.0
21.8
17
64%
13
1
1
1
2
1
3
10
1-3
33%
8-12
3-6
67%
59%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
34.7
38.5
14
70%
9
14
3
1
1
3
0
9
0-0
-
7-10
8-16
70%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
29.7
32.8
15
63%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
26.7
33.2
7
44%
6
0
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.6
25.4
27.3
15
77%
7
3
1
0
0
3
1
6
1-4
25%
7-8
4-8
88%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
21.3
6.0
8
62%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
18.3
13.0
5
39%
3
6
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-1
0%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
5.6
18.1
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
1.4
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
1.4
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.