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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics43%91111
20Hawks57%93123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
44.6
37.3
16
44%
10
11
1
2
0
6
4
6
0-0
-
8-17
6-12
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
40.4
34.6
12
41%
6
4
0
1
0
5
2
4
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
38.5
30.7
24
64%
10
4
1
1
0
2
1
9
2-2
100%
11-18
6-11
61%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
28.7
25.3
14
64%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
18.8
21.3
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
30.5
23.4
17
74%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
8-8
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
25.6
16.6
16
66%
7
4
2
1
0
0
2
5
5-5
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
24.2
20.9
0
0%
5
2
2
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
21.9
16.9
12
93%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.1
13.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
3.5
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
3.8
0
0-1
55%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
51.1
22.1
24
60%
13
3
2
1
0
2
3
10
10-11
91%
7-15
4-8
47%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
46.9
34.0
17
35%
14
7
0
1
2
2
5
9
3-9
33%
7-17
6-12
41%
49%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
44.4
34.9
27
94%
6
4
3
1
2
1
1
5
3-3
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
8-12
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
40.3
33.5
23
84%
4
7
3
1
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
2-3
67%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
18.0
17.9
11
65%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
38.4
11.9
14
47%
3
2
2
0
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
2-9
22%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
21.8
22.6
2
14%
3
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
41%
0-4
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
11.5
15.6
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
8.2
11.4
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-2
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
5.7
16.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
3.9
12.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
8.3
0
1-2
44%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
7.8
0
0-1
49%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.