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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat55%9589
10Pacers45%93102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
42.0
35.4
28
64%
6
3
1
1
1
3
1
5
9-11
82%
8-14
7-14
57%
54%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
41.3
34.1
17
46%
6
5
2
1
2
1
2
4
3-6
50%
7-16
7-13
44%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
32.5
34.3
13
51%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
5-11
5-11
45%
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
23.3
19.4
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
21.0
24.1
7
60%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
27.8
18.1
11
61%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
3-8
38%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
27.0
22.7
0
0%
2
5
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
12.3
6.4
9
101%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-4
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
11.1
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
1.7
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
7.6
0
0-1
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
6.0
0
0-0
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
3.1
0
0-0
35%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
41.1
39.3
15
59%
6
6
2
2
0
3
0
6
2-4
50%
5-5
5-10
100%
47%
1-6
17%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
39.3
31.6
15
63%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
35.9
30.6
30
85%
7
5
0
1
0
0
2
5
6-6
100%
12-15
6-13
80%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
35.3
36.0
12
58%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
30.0
28.4
7
39%
6
0
0
0
2
2
3
3
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
18.0
16.2
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
12.7
16.4
4
82%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
12.1
14.6
11
56%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
11.3
4.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.9
4.2
10.2
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
5.8
0
1-1
47%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.8
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
2.8
0
0-0
44%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.8
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.