Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Raptors | 38% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Heat | 55% | 94 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Magic | 35% | 91 | 84 |
 | 17 | Celtics | 65% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 89 |
 | 12 | Nets | 49% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bucks | 36% | 99 | 86 |
 | 8 | Knicks | 64% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | 66% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 97 | 98 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Mavericks | 48% | 100 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 111 |
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 43% | 98 | 100 |
Thursday, January 31, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 29% | 90 | 89 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 71% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 97 |
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Wednesday, January 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 48% | 93 | 84 |
| 27 | 76ers | 52% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 26% | 89 | 79 |
| 7 | Pacers | 74% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 27% | 93 | 81 |
| 15 | Celtics | 73% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 26% | 96 | 97 |
| 6 | Knicks | 74% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 33% | 94 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 100 | 105 |
| 14 | Nets | 40% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 54% | 98 | 104 |
| 16 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 65% | 97 | 96 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 35% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 12% | 93 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Nuggets | 60% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 39% | 96 | 99 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 61% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 86 |
| 26 | Suns | 46% | 101 | 92 |
Tuesday, January 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 58% | 103 | 108 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 42% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 54% | 99 | 117 |
| 25 | Pistons | 46% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 104 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 31% | 97 | 106 | |
| 7 | Lakers | 69% | 104 | 111 |
Monday, January 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 46% | 100 | 114 |
| 19 | Raptors | 54% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 57% | 92 | 103 |
| 27 | 76ers | 43% | 89 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 34% | 95 | 96 |
| 23 | Wizards | 66% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 29% | 95 | 77 |
| 12 | Nets | 71% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 17% | 89 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 83% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 40% | 95 | 101 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 60% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 49% | 102 | 125 |
| 18 | Jazz | 51% | 103 | 80 |
Sunday, January 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 98 |
| 15 | Celtics | 40% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 54% | 103 | 96 |
| 8 | Lakers | 46% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 104 |
| 22 | Magic | 55% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 29% | 89 | 91 | |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 71% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 39% | 96 | 104 |
| 6 | Knicks | 61% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 29% | 96 | 95 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 71% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 94 | 83 |
| 4 | Clippers | 75% | 103 | 96 |
Saturday, January 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 95 | 99 |
| 16 | Raptors | 76% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 65% | 100 | 80 |
| 27 | 76ers | 35% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 58% | 94 | 73 |
| 25 | Wizards | 42% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 60% | 98 | 101 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 40% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 38% | 99 | 106 |
| 11 | Rockets | 62% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 100 | 102 |
| 14 | Bucks | 59% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 23% | 95 | 99 |
| 3 | Spurs | 77% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 17% | 97 | 93 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 83% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 55% | 95 | 110 |
| 19 | Jazz | 45% | 93 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 101 | 100 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 97 | 101 |
Friday, January 25, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 47% | 92 | 101 |
| 25 | Wizards | 53% | 93 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 43% | 91 | 111 |
| 20 | Hawks | 57% | 93 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 20% | 91 | 88 |
| 1 | Heat | 80% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 63% | 101 | 108 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 37% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 39% | 95 | 87 |
| 9 | Bulls | 61% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 38% | 90 | 77 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 62% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 49% | 102 | 100 |
| 19 | Hornets | 51% | 103 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 102 | 113 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 42% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 76% | 106 | 105 |
| 28 | Kings | 24% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 39% | 100 | 84 |
| 11 | Lakers | 61% | 104 | 102 |
Thursday, January 24, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 97 |
| 24 | Magic | 55% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 52% | 96 | 89 |
| 14 | Celtics | 48% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 73% | 102 | 88 |
| 26 | Suns | 27% | 94 | 93 |
Wednesday, January 23, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 69% | 100 | 104 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 31% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 24% | 93 | 116 |
| 2 | Heat | 76% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 27% | 90 | 82 |
| 11 | Bulls | 73% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 37% | 93 | 93 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 47% | 105 | 105 |
| 10 | Rockets | 53% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 53% | 96 | 91 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 47% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 25% | 96 | 102 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 37% | 94 | 88 |
| 18 | Jazz | 63% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 48% | 101 | 106 |
| 28 | Kings | 52% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 55% | 96 | 80 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 58% | 103 | 99 |
| 16 | Warriors | 42% | 101 | 104 |
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 63% | 99 | 90 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 37% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 43% | 97 | 90 |
| 23 | Pistons | 57% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 30% | 93 | 102 |
| 15 | Bucks | 70% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 45% | 98 | 109 |
| 3 | Clippers | 55% | 100 | 97 |
Monday, January 21, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 40% | 86 | 82 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 60% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 33% | 97 | 105 |
| 17 | Hornets | 67% | 103 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 74% | 108 | 100 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 41% | 92 | 96 |
| 18 | Hawks | 59% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 34% | 96 | 88 |
| 5 | Knicks | 66% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 63% | 102 | 99 |
| 21 | Warriors | 37% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 90 |
| 24 | 76ers | 32% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 38% | 96 | 83 |
| 10 | Bulls | 62% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 38% | 96 | 98 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 100 | 95 |
Sunday, January 20, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 16 | Raptors | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 54% | 101 | 111 |
| 24 | Magic | 46% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 55% | 95 | 88 |
| 25 | Pistons | 45% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 51% | 102 | 118 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 49% | 101 | 121 |
Saturday, January 19, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 54% | 102 | 97 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 46% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 98 | 98 |
| 18 | Hawks | 39% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 42% | 88 | 85 |
| 9 | Bulls | 58% | 91 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 38% | 96 | 116 |
| 19 | Hornets | 62% | 101 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 48% | 101 | 79 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 52% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 26% | 95 | 98 |
| 15 | Jazz | 74% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 45% | 99 | 110 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 17% | 88 | 87 |
| 4 | Clippers | 83% | 102 | 94 |