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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 1, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic36%9184
17Celtics64%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
33.0
35.7
15
46%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
3-10
3-5
30%
48%
2-5
40%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
32.8
6.3
14
50%
10
1
1
0
2
3
0
10
2-2
100%
6-13
1-3
46%
48%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
32.3
32.6
14
54%
14
1
0
1
2
1
5
9
2-2
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
30.3
26.0
8
40%
8
2
2
1
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
18.5
35.5
2
17%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-3
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
24.4
21.0
14
48%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
44%
1-3
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
17.8
12.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
15.3
6.6
6
50%
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
13.8
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
7.8
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
7.1
11.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
7.1
5.0
11
85%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-1
100%
5-6
1-1
83%
45%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
22.5
1
4-10
44%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
39.0
21.8
14
54%
5
5
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
50%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
28.8
32.8
14
55%
11
7
1
1
0
3
0
11
3-6
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
26.4
25.6
6
44%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
22.7
30.1
14
58%
10
1
3
1
1
0
4
6
0-0
-
7-12
6-11
58%
52%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
20.3
26.0
6
33%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
29.1
23.8
17
55%
4
4
1
1
3
3
1
3
1-3
33%
8-13
3-6
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
27.9
20.6
12
64%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
26.8
13.2
12
55%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
11.2
6.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
5.3
9.9
2
100%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
2.6
8.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
17.7
1
3-6
52%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.