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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Lakers68%105100
30Bobcats32%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
37.7
19.5
12
62%
11
1
1
1
3
2
0
11
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
59%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
37.5
33.3
20
54%
7
8
0
1
1
3
0
7
8-8
100%
6-13
7-13
46%
50%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
34.8
34.8
17
55%
10
0
2
1
1
2
2
8
2-3
67%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
33.0
30.0
17
64%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
55%
2-6
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
30.6
25.4
11
38%
5
1
2
1
2
0
3
2
1-1
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
30.0
18.2
14
100%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
4-4
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
18.6
24.3
9
58%
5
0
0
1
3
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
17.7
16.9
0
0%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
10.0
0
0-0
46%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.7
5.9
0
1-1
52%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
4.6
0
1-1
47%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.6
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
39.4
28.4
20
51%
10
3
3
1
1
1
1
9
4-6
67%
8-16
5-10
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
39.2
23.5
20
52%
12
1
1
1
1
3
2
10
3-3
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.8
37.5
27.7
18
54%
1
8
2
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
6-12
4-9
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
32.5
26.5
8
80%
10
2
1
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
24.6
22.1
4
30%
10
2
2
1
1
3
3
7
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
29.1
29.1
12
47%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
23.6
19.7
9
35%
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
46%
1-3
33%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
11.7
23.8
2
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
2.4
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
13.8
0
1-3
46%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
13.6
1
2-5
42%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
12.1
0
1-2
51%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.6
5.9
0
1-2
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.