Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Nets | 51% | 95 | 74 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 100 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 32% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 33% | 91 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 37% | 93 | 111 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Pistons | 34% | 97 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 45% | 98 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 81% | 104 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 62% | 102 | 100 |
 | 24 | Timberwolves | 38% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bulls | 46% | 94 | 93 |
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Thursday, February 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 51% | 99 | 95 |
 | 17 | Celtics | 49% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 40% | 97 | 96 |
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Wednesday, February 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 44% | 94 | 99 |
| 14 | Raptors | 56% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 59% | 93 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 61% | 98 | 96 |
| 22 | Wizards | 39% | 95 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 71% | 99 | 86 |
| 28 | Magic | 29% | 91 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 36% | 99 | 95 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 64% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 46% | 91 | 92 |
| 17 | Hawks | 54% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 27% | 97 | 108 |
| 1 | Heat | 73% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 45% | 97 | 93 |
| 20 | Pistons | 55% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 34% | 94 | 84 |
| 23 | Hornets | 66% | 100 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 24% | 97 | 98 |
| 2 | Thunder | 76% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 99 | 99 |
 | 15 | Mavericks | 59% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 66% | 101 | 104 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 34% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 41% | 99 | 86 |
| 19 | Jazz | 59% | 102 | 100 |
Tuesday, February 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 39% | 90 | 103 |
| 9 | Pacers | 61% | 94 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 47% | 100 | 92 |
| 13 | Nets | 53% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 28% | 90 | 96 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 72% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 39% | 102 | 109 |
| 6 | Rockets | 61% | 106 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 35% | 100 | 104 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 65% | 105 | 112 |
Monday, February 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 46% | 90 | 101 |
| 10 | Pacers | 54% | 91 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 39% | 93 | 61 |
| 25 | 76ers | 61% | 97 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 57% | 95 | 90 |
| 24 | Wizards | 43% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 23% | 95 | 85 |
| 4 | Knicks | 77% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 10% | 90 | 94 |
| 1 | Heat | 90% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 26% | 96 | 91 |
| 2 | Thunder | 74% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 98 | 100 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 56% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Jazz | 69% | 104 | 98 |
Sunday, February 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 56% | 94 | 104 |
| 19 | Celtics | 44% | 92 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 57% | 102 | 98 |
| 22 | Pistons | 43% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 64% | 100 | 100 |
| 14 | Raptors | 36% | 95 | 85 |
Saturday, February 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 93 |
| 11 | Hawks | 58% | 95 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 97 | 81 |
| 4 | Knicks | 81% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 81% | 105 | 110 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 19% | 93 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 17% | 97 | 95 |
| 7 | Rockets | 83% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 43% | 95 | 86 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 57% | 98 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 94 | 98 |
| 13 | Bucks | 71% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 15% | 89 | 86 |
| 1 | Spurs | 85% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 41% | 98 | 99 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 28% | 97 | 93 |
| 15 | Warriors | 72% | 105 | 113 |
Friday, February 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 98 | 73 |
| 18 | Raptors | 38% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 55% | 95 | 89 |
| 10 | Pacers | 45% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 36% | 91 | 84 |
| 17 | Celtics | 64% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 89 |
| 12 | Nets | 49% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 36% | 99 | 86 |
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 38% | 96 | 80 |
| 27 | 76ers | 62% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 34% | 96 | 99 |
| 24 | Pistons | 66% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 39% | 89 | 76 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 61% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 97 | 98 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 99 | 77 |
| 21 | Jazz | 55% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 48% | 100 | 109 |
| 25 | Suns | 52% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 111 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 43% | 98 | 100 |
Thursday, January 31, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 29% | 90 | 89 |
| 3 | Thunder | 71% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 97 |
| 21 | Warriors | 49% | 100 | 100 |
Wednesday, January 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 48% | 93 | 84 |
| 27 | 76ers | 52% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 26% | 89 | 79 |
| 7 | Pacers | 74% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 27% | 93 | 81 |
| 15 | Celtics | 73% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 26% | 96 | 97 |
| 6 | Knicks | 74% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 33% | 94 | 92 |
| 11 | Hawks | 67% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 100 | 105 |
| 14 | Nets | 40% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 54% | 98 | 104 |
| 16 | Bucks | 46% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 64% | 97 | 96 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 36% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 12% | 93 | 78 |
| 3 | Spurs | 88% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 40% | 102 | 110 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 60% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 39% | 96 | 99 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 61% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 86 |
| 26 | Suns | 46% | 101 | 92 |
Tuesday, January 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 57% | 103 | 108 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 43% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 54% | 99 | 117 |
| 25 | Pistons | 46% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 104 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 31% | 97 | 106 | |
| 7 | Lakers | 69% | 104 | 111 |
Monday, January 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 46% | 100 | 114 |
| 19 | Raptors | 54% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 58% | 92 | 103 |
| 27 | 76ers | 42% | 89 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 35% | 96 | 96 |
| 23 | Wizards | 65% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 29% | 95 | 77 |
| 12 | Nets | 71% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 17% | 89 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 83% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 40% | 95 | 101 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 60% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 49% | 102 | 125 |
| 18 | Jazz | 51% | 103 | 80 |
Sunday, January 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 59% | 97 | 98 |
| 15 | Celtics | 41% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 54% | 103 | 96 |
| 8 | Lakers | 46% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 104 |
| 22 | Magic | 55% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 29% | 89 | 91 | |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 71% | 97 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 39% | 96 | 104 |
| 6 | Knicks | 61% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 29% | 96 | 95 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 71% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 94 | 83 |
| 4 | Clippers | 75% | 103 | 96 |
Saturday, January 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 95 | 99 |
| 16 | Raptors | 76% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 65% | 100 | 80 |
| 27 | 76ers | 35% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 57% | 94 | 73 |
| 25 | Wizards | 43% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 59% | 98 | 101 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 41% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 38% | 99 | 106 |
| 11 | Rockets | 62% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 100 | 102 |
| 14 | Bucks | 59% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 23% | 95 | 99 |
| 3 | Spurs | 77% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 17% | 97 | 93 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 83% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 55% | 95 | 110 |
| 19 | Jazz | 45% | 93 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 101 | 100 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 97 | 101 |