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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Trail Blazers32%100103
7Rockets68%107118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
37.9
38.0
31
62%
11
2
0
1
0
0
1
10
3-5
60%
14-23
8-17
61%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
37.0
37.3
24
82%
2
3
0
1
3
3
1
1
6-6
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
4-8
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
34.3
31.6
2
11%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-6
0%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.6
33.4
37.2
18
63%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-8
4-10
63%
46%
2-5
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.4
21.1
31.8
12
55%
6
2
1
1
0
2
5
1
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.4
22.6
11.9
5
42%
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.9
18.9
5.6
1
13%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
14.6
8.8
6
38%
5
2
1
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
8.4
9.4
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
8.0
14.0
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.0
3.9
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
11.9
1
1-2
39%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
6.0
0
0-1
40%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.6
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
38.2
34.0
20
71%
3
3
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
4-8
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
37.8
35.2
35
94%
7
11
1
2
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
9-11
5-10
82%
52%
4-5
80%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
31.0
32.0
9
42%
13
0
0
1
4
0
5
8
3-4
75%
3-9
4-8
33%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
27.1
28.4
16
73%
6
1
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
52%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
26.1
30.9
16
68%
0
4
0
2
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
21.7
7.9
5
36%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
20.2
4.1
2
35%
4
6
2
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
14.2
4.6
6
100%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
10.3
17.2
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
6.1
17.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
2.8
7.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
2.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
1.7
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.