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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Warriors39%9493
13Grizzlies61%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
40.9
32.1
26
70%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
6-6
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
39.9
31.6
32
65%
5
8
2
1
0
2
3
2
6-6
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
45%
4-9
44%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
35.8
29.5
9
35%
2
1
2
1
2
6
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
34.9
24.4
6
31%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-4
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
27.7
22.9
7
90%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-3
4-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
15.8
15.4
4
50%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.4
12.8
21.9
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
10.6
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
7.2
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.6
6.9
14.2
5
63%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.6
6.8
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
0.8
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
19.5
0
3-5
47%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
38.0
32.5
7
44%
4
10
2
2
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
36.5
35.2
16
48%
12
1
1
1
1
2
2
10
8-8
100%
4-13
7-13
31%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
36.0
31.0
20
67%
11
5
1
1
0
3
4
7
2-2
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.9
34.7
30.5
6
25%
4
5
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.1
28.2
28.1
17
87%
4
0
2
2
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
6-7
4-8
86%
48%
1-1
100%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
27.0
27.6
14
47%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
3-9
33%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
16.8
10.7
12
93%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
3-4
75%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
16.4
19.8
4
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
6.4
12.0
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.8
7.8
0
0-1
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
6.9
0
1-2
47%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.7
1.1
0
0-0
49%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.