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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Hornets37%93111
15Hawks63%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
38.4
25.3
17
60%
8
3
0
0
3
0
4
4
1-5
20%
8-12
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
36.0
31.4
21
61%
11
12
1
1
0
4
2
9
4-5
80%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
30.5
24.8
27
62%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
9-17
3-7
53%
48%
1-2
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
25.7
22.8
8
36%
7
1
2
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
19.4
25.4
0
0%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
29.2
28.1
19
80%
8
1
0
1
0
3
3
5
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
4-7
57%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
20.5
8.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
17.5
16.5
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
12.1
12.4
5
83%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
7.7
15.8
8
80%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
3.1
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
7.3
0
0-1
45%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
5.2
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
42.2
35.3
17
57%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
40.1
34.2
21
82%
0
9
0
1
0
6
0
0
3-4
75%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
4-6
67%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
38.2
38.2
23
58%
6
8
2
1
2
4
0
6
2-2
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
50%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
36.5
33.4
12
44%
6
3
2
1
1
0
2
4
4-6
67%
4-11
6-12
36%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
17.3
14.0
5
63%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-3
33%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
19.6
19.6
8
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-3
67%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
17.6
13.3
2
50%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
17.3
15.7
6
61%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
11.2
13.3
6
44%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
10.0
0
1-2
41%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
6.9
0
1-2
51%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.9
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.