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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Clippers35%9389
1Heat65%99111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
24.5
26.4
8
47%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
2-6
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
24.1
18.5
13
74%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
5-7
4-8
71%
53%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.6
22.4
30.7
17
60%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
3-7
43%
7-11
4-7
64%
60%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
19.6
9.8
3
30%
1
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
16.4
21.1
7
60%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
28.4
36.2
7
51%
4
6
1
2
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
5-12
20%
46%
1-1
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
24.5
20.8
13
43%
0
3
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.9
23.5
22.8
10
56%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.3
21.8
25.4
0
0%
2
2
1
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
20.6
10.6
5
102%
8
0
0
0
1
2
3
5
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
7.1
19.2
4
40%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
7.1
10.2
2
53%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.3
17.9
0
2-5
46%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
31.4
34.8
20
54%
6
7
4
1
0
2
2
4
4-6
67%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
0-2
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
31.0
36.5
30
95%
5
6
0
1
2
5
1
4
8-11
73%
5-6
8-14
83%
55%
4-5
80%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
24.7
24.6
18
87%
2
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
5-8
63%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
21.0
26.2
12
120%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
4-5
80%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
17.6
22.1
6
100%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
27.0
9.8
10
57%
7
0
2
0
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
23.5
3.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
23.3
21.9
4
40%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
18.0
11.5
8
53%
4
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
6-8
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
54%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
12.4
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
7.1
1.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
33%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
3.1
2.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.6
21.7
1
2-3
49%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.