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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers28%98105
3Thunder72%105122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
39.4
35.3
30
62%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
11-12
92%
5-12
7-15
42%
47%
3-7
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
37.1
35.7
6
29%
16
0
0
1
0
2
5
11
4-8
50%
1-7
6-10
14%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.1
35.1
29.3
20
60%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
2-6
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.3
32.7
29.3
16
63%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
3-6
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
30.1
23.8
13
56%
11
1
0
1
1
5
5
6
6-8
75%
2-6
2-6
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
22.4
28.2
8
45%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
21.0
21.6
7
51%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.0
19.0
22.4
5
83%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
1.5
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.7
1.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.2
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.7
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
40.0
38.1
26
51%
9
5
3
1
3
0
1
8
7-8
88%
8-19
7-13
42%
54%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
35.8
35.4
37
57%
10
5
2
2
0
1
4
6
7-8
88%
15-27
8-16
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
28.4
30.1
13
81%
6
0
0
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
5-9
71%
57%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
27.6
33.5
5
63%
1
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.3
20.2
24.0
2
17%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.1
28.9
22.3
11
43%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
3-11
27%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.6
18.0
8.3
10
102%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
39%
2-2
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.9
13.1
13.3
10
71%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
51%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
12.8
18.6
6
77%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.0
6.5
7.3
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.0
6.1
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.4
1.3
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.9
1.3
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.6
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.