Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Celtics | 57% | 92 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 28% | 98 | 105 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 72% | 106 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, March 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Knicks | 62% | 103 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bucks | 63% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 25% | 93 | 105 |
| 21 | Hornets | 75% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 68% | 101 | 97 |
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 32% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 40% | 99 | 118 |
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Sunday, March 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 52% | 100 | 99 |
| 6 | Knicks | 48% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 43% | 98 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 31% | 88 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Magic | 25% | 89 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 100 | 83 |
| 24 | Kings | 67% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Mavericks | 35% | 102 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 17% | 91 | 75 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Bulls | 34% | 87 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 43% | 99 | 98 |
| 12 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 99 |
Saturday, March 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 53% | 99 | 97 |
| 28 | 76ers | 47% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 32% | 90 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 68% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 35% | 97 | 114 |
| 14 | Bucks | 65% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 45% | 98 | 94 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 109 |
Friday, March 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 48% | 92 | 93 |
| 13 | Raptors | 52% | 93 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 61% | 98 | 96 |
| 23 | Wizards | 39% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 107 | 118 |
| 29 | Magic | 24% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 47% | 97 | 86 |
| 18 | Celtics | 53% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 29% | 90 | 91 |
| 2 | Heat | 71% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 104 | 105 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 29% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 98 | 98 |
| 17 | Nets | 52% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 96 | 95 |
| 22 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 12% | 94 | 102 |
| 1 | Spurs | 88% | 110 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 95 | 68 |
| 19 | Jazz | 74% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 62% | 99 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 52% | 103 | 103 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 102 | 105 |
Thursday, February 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 49% | 94 | 99 |
| 6 | Pacers | 51% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 28% | 87 | 82 |
| 13 | Bulls | 72% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 34% | 98 | 94 |
| 11 | Lakers | 66% | 103 | 116 |
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 125 |
| 29 | Magic | 53% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 62% | 101 | 92 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 38% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 29% | 100 | 105 |
| 7 | Knicks | 71% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 36% | 92 | 96 |
| 22 | Wizards | 64% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 33% | 93 | 84 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 67% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 27% | 101 | 110 |
| 5 | Rockets | 73% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 20% | 92 | 74 | |
| 4 | Thunder | 80% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 11% | 89 | 105 |
| 1 | Spurs | 89% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 98 | 102 |
| 19 | Jazz | 51% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 57% | 104 | 111 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 102 | 109 |
Tuesday, February 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 36% | 92 | 98 |
| 27 | 76ers | 64% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 35% | 95 | 97 |
| 7 | Pacers | 65% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 14% | 94 | 129 |
| 1 | Heat | 86% | 109 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 28% | 92 | 101 |
| 14 | Bulls | 72% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 44% | 96 | 101 |
| 17 | Hornets | 56% | 98 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 95 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 60% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 52% | 98 | 83 |
| 24 | Suns | 48% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 10% | 91 | 84 |
| 4 | Clippers | 90% | 108 | 106 |
Monday, February 25, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 40% | 93 | 90 |
| 13 | Raptors | 60% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 61% | 99 | 114 |
| 28 | Pistons | 39% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 36% | 102 | 108 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 64% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 39% | 93 | 110 |
| 20 | Jazz | 61% | 97 | 107 |
Sunday, February 24, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 44% | 102 | 103 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 56% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 53% | 93 | 76 |
| 19 | Nets | 47% | 91 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 51% | 102 | 100 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 49% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 14% | 92 | 105 |
| 2 | Heat | 86% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 34% | 98 | 95 |
| 18 | Hornets | 66% | 104 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 20% | 91 | 93 |
| 6 | Knicks | 80% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 79% | 104 | 97 |
| 25 | Suns | 21% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 47% | 96 | 86 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 29% | 91 | 72 |
| 3 | Thunder | 71% | 99 | 102 |
Saturday, February 23, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 58% | 101 | 103 |
| 17 | Wizards | 42% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 75% | 107 | 113 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 25% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 53% | 99 | 118 |
| 29 | Magic | 47% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 79% | 99 | 114 |
| 28 | 76ers | 21% | 89 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 62% | 96 | 90 |
| 26 | Pistons | 38% | 92 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 39% | 97 | 103 |
| 15 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 24% | 94 | 94 |
| 4 | Clippers | 76% | 104 | 107 |
Friday, February 22, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 51% | 99 | 98 |
| 13 | Raptors | 49% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 56% | 99 | 113 |
| 18 | Wizards | 44% | 97 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 69% | 99 | 105 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 31% | 92 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 29% | 90 | 82 |
| 11 | Pacers | 71% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 61% | 102 | 106 |
| 17 | Nets | 39% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 30% | 97 | 108 |
| 16 | Hawks | 70% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 22% | 88 | 82 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 78% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 100 | 104 |
| 21 | Hornets | 49% | 99 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 21% | 94 | 111 |
| 2 | Thunder | 79% | 104 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 55% | 95 | 113 |
| 25 | Suns | 45% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 99 | 107 |
| 8 | Lakers | 69% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 55% | 105 | 101 |
| 14 | Warriors | 45% | 103 | 107 |
Thursday, February 21, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 51% | 95 | 86 |
| 8 | Bulls | 49% | 94 | 67 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 43% | 99 | 116 |
| 4 | Clippers | 57% | 102 | 90 |
Wednesday, February 20, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 43% | 92 | 88 |
| 12 | Raptors | 57% | 95 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 61% | 102 | 105 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 39% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 51% | 100 | 100 | |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 49% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 49% | 95 | 91 |
| 9 | Pacers | 51% | 96 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 62% | 99 | 103 |
| 16 | Hawks | 38% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 41% | 97 | 97 |
| 13 | Bucks | 59% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 55% | 105 | 119 |
| 6 | Rockets | 45% | 103 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 36% | 93 | 87 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 64% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 23% | 96 | 96 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 77% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 33% | 94 | 99 |
| 10 | Lakers | 67% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 31% | 97 | 98 |
| 17 | Warriors | 69% | 104 | 108 |