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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards56%9690
28Cavaliers44%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
42.5
31.0
17
61%
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
5-11
45%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
36.7
31.3
27
64%
7
14
1
1
1
4
2
5
13-14
93%
7-15
5-12
47%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
32.0
28.0
18
70%
11
1
1
1
2
1
5
6
2-2
100%
8-12
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.5
31.3
28.4
15
55%
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
8
5-6
83%
5-11
5-10
45%
54%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
21.1
16.3
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.4
23.1
19.0
3
18%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
13.1
11.7
2
53%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.7
11.6
29.6
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.3
10.5
6.4
2
23%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-4
1-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
9.0
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
6.2
17.8
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.3
2.9
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.9
4.6
0
1-1
53%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.7
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.0
36.3
29.6
13
70%
14
3
0
1
1
1
6
8
3-3
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
32.2
28.1
17
51%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
4-9
44%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.5
31.4
19.9
12
67%
3
6
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
29.2
22.2
20
52%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
10-14
71%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.1
20.4
21.2
4
50%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
21.9
21.6
10
50%
3
0
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
19.3
24.0
12
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.0
18.0
18.9
2
25%
6
5
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.0
16.1
4.4
5
50%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
37%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
15.3
19.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.5
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.