Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Celtics | 74% | 99 | 74 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 91 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 67% | 105 | 106 |
 | 27 | Magic | 33% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 45% | 96 | 98 | |
 | 18 | Nets | 55% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Heat | 76% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Mavericks | 45% | 101 | 115 |
 | 13 | Bucks | 55% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Timberwolves | 35% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, March 11, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 63% | 96 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 42% | 98 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pistons | 34% | 96 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | 53% | 101 | 63 |
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Sunday, March 10, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 23% | 91 | 79 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 38% | 96 | 81 |
| 9 | Lakers | 62% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 32% | 96 | 96 |
 | 12 | Raptors | 68% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 91 |
| 28 | Magic | 51% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Heat | 69% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 100 | 96 |
| 17 | Hornets | 56% | 102 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 61% | 100 | 100 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 39% | 96 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 44% | 105 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 14% | 93 | 97 |
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Saturday, March 9, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 38% | 94 | 93 |
| 12 | Hawks | 62% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 24% | 92 | 84 |
| 7 | Knicks | 76% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 89 | 87 |
| 21 | Wizards | 77% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 85 | |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 61% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 23% | 95 | 88 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 77% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Suns | 30% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 103 |
| 16 | Warriors | 56% | 103 | 93 |
Friday, March 8, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 106 | 116 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 15% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 73% | 98 | 115 |
| 28 | Magic | 27% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 46% | 93 | 102 |
| 16 | Celtics | 54% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 41% | 91 | 78 |
| 17 | Nets | 59% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 61% | 102 | 102 |
| 26 | Pistons | 39% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 62% | 98 | 103 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 38% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 14% | 88 | 93 |
| 2 | Heat | 86% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 38% | 92 | 88 |
| 13 | Bulls | 62% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 94 | 136 |
| 4 | Spurs | 80% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 39% | 100 | 112 |
| 23 | Kings | 61% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 33% | 98 | 116 |
| 9 | Lakers | 67% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 107 | 94 |
| 14 | Warriors | 49% | 106 | 88 |
Thursday, March 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 60% | 100 | 95 |
| 8 | Knicks | 40% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 46% | 102 | 92 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 54% | 103 | 107 |
Wednesday, March 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 71% | 101 | 99 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 29% | 94 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 53% | 100 | 101 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 47% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 26% | 86 | 83 |
| 6 | Pacers | 74% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 26% | 90 | 96 |
| 15 | Hawks | 74% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 11% | 90 | 96 |
| 1 | Heat | 89% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 100 | 87 |
| 27 | Pistons | 36% | 95 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 93 | 85 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 69% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| 21 | Hornets | 51% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 93 | 82 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 48% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 52% | 105 | 108 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 30% | 90 | 83 |
| 4 | Spurs | 70% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 55% | 98 | 98 |
| 26 | Suns | 45% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 24% | 96 | 101 |
| 3 | Clippers | 76% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 26% | 101 | 83 |
| 12 | Warriors | 74% | 110 | 87 |
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 57% | 92 | 109 |
| 27 | 76ers | 43% | 90 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 28% | 98 | 105 |
| 3 | Thunder | 72% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 61% | 107 | 120 |
| 24 | Kings | 39% | 103 | 113 |
Monday, March 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 62% | 103 | 102 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 38% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 37% | 98 | 108 |
| 13 | Bucks | 63% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 26% | 94 | 105 |
| 21 | Hornets | 74% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 68% | 100 | 97 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 32% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 31% | 97 | 88 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 105 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 41% | 99 | 118 |
| 15 | Warriors | 59% | 102 | 125 |
Sunday, March 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 53% | 100 | 99 |
| 6 | Knicks | 47% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 43% | 98 | 108 |
| 3 | Clippers | 57% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 31% | 88 | 87 |
| 19 | Wizards | 69% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 75% | 98 | 108 |
| 29 | Magic | 25% | 89 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 100 | 83 |
| 24 | Kings | 67% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 35% | 102 | 103 |
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 107 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 17% | 91 | 75 |
| 4 | Spurs | 83% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 34% | 87 | 92 |
| 8 | Pacers | 66% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 43% | 99 | 98 |
| 12 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 99 |
Saturday, March 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 52% | 99 | 97 |
| 28 | 76ers | 48% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 32% | 90 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 68% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 35% | 97 | 114 |
| 14 | Bucks | 65% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 45% | 98 | 94 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 100 | 109 |
Friday, March 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 48% | 93 | 93 |
| 13 | Raptors | 52% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 61% | 99 | 96 |
| 23 | Wizards | 39% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 107 | 118 |
| 29 | Magic | 24% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 47% | 97 | 86 |
| 18 | Celtics | 53% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 30% | 90 | 91 |
| 2 | Heat | 70% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 104 | 105 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 29% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 98 | 98 |
| 17 | Nets | 52% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 96 | 95 |
| 22 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 12% | 94 | 102 |
| 1 | Spurs | 88% | 110 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 95 | 68 |
| 19 | Jazz | 74% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 61% | 99 | 87 |
| 25 | Suns | 39% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 52% | 103 | 103 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 102 | 105 |
Thursday, February 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 49% | 94 | 99 |
| 6 | Pacers | 51% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 28% | 87 | 82 |
| 13 | Bulls | 72% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 34% | 98 | 94 |
| 11 | Lakers | 66% | 103 | 116 |
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 125 |
| 29 | Magic | 53% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 62% | 101 | 92 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 38% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 28% | 99 | 105 |
| 7 | Knicks | 72% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 36% | 92 | 96 |
| 22 | Wizards | 64% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 33% | 93 | 84 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 67% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 27% | 100 | 110 |
| 5 | Rockets | 73% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 20% | 93 | 74 | |
| 4 | Thunder | 80% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 11% | 89 | 105 |
| 1 | Spurs | 89% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 98 | 102 |
| 19 | Jazz | 51% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 58% | 105 | 111 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 102 | 109 |