Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Spurs	65%	99	83	88.3	94	102.2
	24	Timberwolves	35%	94	107	115.1	93	87.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Jackson F · 6'8" 220 · 35	26.1	14	64%	5	0	1	1	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	25.9	15	68%	2	3	0	1	3	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.4	10	50%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 28	22.3	4	18%	11	3	1	0	3	2	4	7	2-2	100%	1-10	10%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner F · 6'10" 235 · 33	18.9	2	25%	6	0	0	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	24.4	8	50%	1	6	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	23.1	6	27%	4	2	4	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	21.6	7	29%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 26	20.2	13	81%	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	16.0	4	100%	1	0	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 26	9.8	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	7.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 22	\| NWT - Sore Left Knee
Tony Parker # 9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Duncan #21 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	45%	39	19	9	4	16	0	8	31	16-18	89%	20-53	38%	9-29	31%

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5 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Jackson F · 6'8" 220 · 35	26.1	14	64%	5	0	1	1	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	25.9	15	68%	2	3	0	1	3	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.4	10	50%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 28	22.3	4	18%	11	3	1	0	3	2	4	7	2-2	100%	1-10	10%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner F · 6'10" 235 · 33	18.9	2	25%	6	0	0	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	24.4	8	50%	1	6	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	23.1	6	27%	4	2	4	0	3	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	21.6	7	29%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 26	20.2	13	81%	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	16.0	4	100%	1	0	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 26	9.8	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	7.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 22	\| NWT - Sore Left Knee
Tony Parker # 9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Duncan #21 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	45%	39	19	9	4	16	0	8	31	16-18	89%	20-53	38%	9-29	31%

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24 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ricky Rubio G · 6'4" 190 · 22	34.8	21	58%	13	12	0	1	4	4	1	12	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-5	20%
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 32	27.4	14	78%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
Mickael Gelabale F · 6'7" 215 · 30	26.2	5	50%	5	2	0	1	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 22	24.0	13	50%	5	0	0	1	3	0	1	4	3-7	43%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 27	23.9	6	60%	7	0	1	1	2	4	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 24	29.8	16	89%	3	7	1	1	3	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-4	75%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 29	25.9	17	61%	5	5	0	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-7	14%	5-7	71%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 26	25.7	9	38%	4	1	3	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Chris Johnson F · 6'11" 210 · 28	22.3	6	60%	6	1	1	6	3	2	2	4	0-4	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Love F-C · 6'10" 251 · 25	\| NWT - Right Hand Surgery
Nikola Pekovic C · 6'11" 307 · 27	\| DND - Abdominal Strain
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 32	\| NWT - Strained Right Quadriceps
Malcolm Lee # 8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chase Budinger #10 · F · 6'7" 209 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandon Roy # 3 · G · 6'6" 211 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	49	30	6	11	16	0	11	38	7-18	39%	32-62	52%	12-20	60%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.89 44.6%

MIN

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

15

32

47%

MIN

16

27

59%

Midrange

SAS

5

21

24%

MIN

16

35

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

9

13.5

29

31%

47%

MIN

12

18.0

20

60%

90%

Free Throws

SAS

16

18

89%

MIN

7

18

39%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Joseph	15	68%	7.5 / 11
S. Jackson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
N. De Colo	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Green	10	50%	5.0 / 10
P. Mills	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Ginobili	7	29%	3.5 / 12
B. Diaw	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Splitter	4	18%	2.0 / 11
D. Blair	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Bonner	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Baynes	0	-	0.0 / 1
G. Neal	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rubio	21	58%	10.5 / 18
J. Barea	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Shved	16	89%	8.0 / 9
L. Ridnour	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Williams	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Cunningham	9	38%	4.5 / 12
G. Stiemsma	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Gelabale	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 107.8 24 102.9	SAS 88.3 MIN 115.1 +26.8
Pace	5 94.7 11 92.9	SAS 102.2 +15.3 MIN 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.4 14 15.7	SAS 14.1 −2.5 MIN 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.1% 27 47.3%	SAS 40.9% MIN 61.0% +20.1%
TO %	9 14.8% 15 15.2%	SAS 15.9% MIN 15.1% −0.8%
ORB %	29 20.7% 12 27.3%	SAS 17.4% MIN 26.2% +8.8%
FTrt	21 25.8 6 30.5	SAS 22.0 MIN 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 64.1% 4 62.4%	SAS 65.5% MIN 68.2% +2.7%
STL %	8 8.9% 6 9.1%	SAS 9.6% +3.1% MIN 6.5%
BLK %	13 8.1% 18 7.6%	SAS 6.5% MIN 20.8% +14.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 55.3% 21 50.2%	SAS 44.6% MIN 57.5% +12.9%
Rim FG%	5 60.8% 18 56.8%	SAS 46.9% MIN 59.3% +12.4%
Mid FG%	2 42.4% 19 38.5%	SAS 23.8% MIN 45.7% +21.9%
3P %	4 37.6% 30 30.5%	SAS 31.0% MIN 60.0% +29.0%
FT %	3 79.1% 21 74.2%	SAS 88.9% +50.0% MIN 38.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 37.7% 5 39.1%	SAS 39.0% +6.1% MIN 32.9%
Mid Att. %	7 35.9% 15 38.9%	SAS 25.6% −17.1% MIN 42.7%
3P Att. %	9 26.4% 21 22.0%	SAS 35.4% +11.0% MIN 24.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Game Totals	SAS	MIN
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.7
Points	83	107
Rebounds	39	49
Assists	19	30
Steals	9	6
Blocks	4	11
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	38 (1)
Field Goals	29-82	44-82
At-the-Rim FG	15-32	16-27
Midrange FG	5-21	16-35
2-Point FG	20-53	32-62
3-Point FG	9-29	12-20
Free Throws	16-18	7-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg